USA vs Costa Rica Prediction & Betting Tips (30 June)

After Mexico and its 12 editions won, the USA are the representatives to have won the most of Gold Cup, a total of 7 editions, the last of which in 2021. The American selection has an open table and the royal road to climb to the final. She will have to eliminate the Costa Rica in the 1/4 final and the winner of Canada-Guatemala in the 1/2 final. The group stage took place perfectly for the Americans with 3 victories before Trinidad and Tobago 5-0, Saudi Arabia 1-0 and Haiti 2-1 on June 23. This is the 5th victory for Pochettino's selection in its last 7 official matches. The USA are therefore in full confidence and aims for a new coronation in this competition.

The Costa Rica has raised this Gold Cup 3 times in its history but it now dates 1963, 1969, 1989. The selection of Herera is not given favorite but the USA will have to be wary because the opposing results have been fairly good since the start of this competition. Los Ticos beat the Suriname 4-3 on a tight score and the Dominican Republic 2-1 before defeating Mexico 0-0 on June 23 during the 3rd and last day of the group stage. A draw equivalent to a victory for Costaricans who could see their journey end at the 1/4 final stadium against an opponent against whom he lost 5 of their last 6 duels.

When the dust settles and the echoes of the anthem fade, what remains is the essence of execution—and that’s where USA and Costa Rica have carved contrasting paths. The United States, known for its tactical discipline and athletic edge, would approach a matchup against Costa Rica with an eye on pressing early and disrupting rhythm. Costa Rica’s recent run shows a knack for edging out tight victories, with back-to-back 2:1 wins against Dominican Republic and Trinidad & Tobago, and a nervy but exhilarating 4:3 result over Suriname. Those scorelines speak to Costa Rica’s resilience and attacking intent but also hint at a vulnerability in the back line—a potential invitation for the USA’s high-octane forwards to capitalize.

Meanwhile, Costa Rica’s repeated stalemates with Mexico at 0:0 highlight an ability to grind out results against heavyweight opponents. That level of defensive organization, when paired with the creative sparks of players like Ugalde or Martínez, gives Los Ticos a multifaceted threat. But consistency in tight match control may be tested against the USA’s dynamic midfield, which thrives on tempo and possession shifts. If the game tips in favor of transition battles, the Americans would likely find more success. Overall, the clash isn’t just about form—it’s a measuring stick of evolution for both teams in how they adapt their identity against familiar but formidable opposition.

Under the bright lights of tournament pressure, a 3:1 scoreline in favor of the United States feels like a reflection of momentum meeting opportunity. The U.S. squad, riding a wave of confidence and cohesion, has shown a knack for controlling tempo and punishing defensive lapses—something Costa Rica has struggled to contain in recent outings. While Los Ticos possess the grit to strike back, especially through quick counters and set pieces, the depth and pace of the American attack could prove overwhelming across 90 minutes. A late Costa Rican goal might add tension, but the Stars and Stripes look poised to pull away with a convincing win.

• Summary: USA is going head to head with Costa Rica starting on 29 Jun 2025 at 23:00 UTC at U.S. Bank Stadium stadium, Minneapolis city, USA. The match is a part of the CONCACAF Gold Cup, Knockout stage .
• Referee: Walter Lopez
• USA Feedinco Rating: 7.18
• Costa Rica Feedinco Rating: 7.16