Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca Prediction & Betting Tips (11 August)

Alianza Atlético enters the upcoming clash against UTC Cajamarca with a noticeable edge in form and momentum. The Sullana-based side has been quietly consistent, boasting a 59.98% win rate this season and sitting comfortably mid-table. Their recent run includes a string of narrow but gritty victories, including a 2–1 triumph over Atlético Grau and a 1–0 win against Sporting Cristal. Coach Carlos Desio has instilled a pragmatic approach, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. With striker Jeremy Canela finding pockets of space and midfielder Kevin Lugo orchestrating play, Alianza looks poised to capitalize on Cajamarca’s vulnerabilities.

UTC Cajamarca, meanwhile, has struggled to find rhythm in the Clausura stage. With only one win in their last five outings and a concerning goal differential—scoring just 0.9 goals per match while conceding 1.81—they’ve slipped to 17th in the standings. Coach Franco Navarro has experimented with formations, but the lack of cohesion in midfield and a leaky backline continue to haunt them. Their recent 1–2 loss to Cusco FC highlighted defensive lapses and a lack of cutting edge in attack. Veteran forward Ray Gómez remains their most potent threat, but service to him has been sporadic at best.

Historically, Alianza Atlético has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning two of the last five meetings while the other three ended in draws. The last head-to-head, a goalless stalemate, was more a reflection of missed chances than defensive mastery. However, with Alianza’s home form improving and Cajamarca’s away woes deepening, the balance tilts toward the hosts. The Estadio Campeones del ’36 has become a fortress of sorts, where Alianza has conceded just one goal in their last three home matches.

Given the current dynamics, a 2–1 scoreline in favor of Alianza Atlético feels both realistic and fitting. Cajamarca may find the net through a moment of individual brilliance—perhaps a set piece or a counter—but Alianza’s structured play and superior finishing should see them through. Expect a tight first half, followed by a decisive second where Alianza’s tactical discipline and attacking efficiency seal the deal.