Alianza vs Once Caldas Prediction & Betting Tips (15 August)

Alianza FC and Once Caldas are set to clash on August 17, 2025, at the Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau in Valledupar, Colombia, for Round 7 of the Liga BetPlay Finalización. Alianza, currently sitting mid-table with four points from three matches, has shown flashes of resilience, especially in their recent 2-1 win over Bucaramanga. Their attacking trio—Felipe Pardo, Andrés Del Valle, and Jhon García—has been instrumental, combining for four goals in five matches. Coach César Torres has emphasized compact defensive transitions, which have kept Alianza competitive even against stronger sides.

Once Caldas, on the other hand, finds itself languishing at the bottom of the table with just one point from four games. Their defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly, conceding nine goals already. Despite this, individual brilliance from players like Dayro Moreno and Jhon Zapata has kept them marginally afloat, each netting twice in recent outings. Coach Hernán Darío Herrera is under pressure to recalibrate his tactical setup, especially in midfield, where possession has been inconsistent and transitions sluggish.

Historically, Alianza has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 victory earlier this year. Their home form against Once Caldas is particularly strong, with three wins in their last four encounters in Valledupar. Statistically, Alianza averages 1.2 goals per match compared to Once Caldas’ 0.65, and their expected goals (xG) metrics also favor the hosts. These trends suggest a continued dominance, especially with Alianza’s recent uptick in form and Once Caldas’ defensive woes.

Given the current trajectory and head-to-head record, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Alianza FC appears not only plausible but likely. Expect Alianza to capitalize on set pieces and counterattacks, while Once Caldas may find a consolation goal through Moreno’s individual flair. The match promises intensity, but unless Herrera conjures a tactical miracle, Alianza should walk away with all three points, reinforcing their push toward the top half of the table.