Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips (5 September)

Slovenia has not registered its name among the teams qualified in the World Cup since the 2010 event in South Africa. In addition, she has never managed to climb in 1/8th finals of the competition on her two participations. Slovenians will therefore enter these qualifiers today and try to stay in their good June dynamics with two successes in friendly against Luxembourg 0-1 and Bosnia 2-1. As a reminder, in March, Slovenia participated in a maintenance dam in League B League of Nations and retained its rank by defeating Slovakia on penalties.

 Sweden seems to be on the way back by having lost only one of its last ten games in all competitions. A good part of the meetings was disputed in the C nations C and the Swedes made the coffee by winning five of their six group games, which means a promotion in League B for the next deadline, perhaps in the same group as Slovenia to see during the draw. In 2025, 4 friendly games were played by the Swedish selection for a balance sheet of 3 victories, all gleaned successively against Northern Ireland 5-1, Hungary 0-2 and Algeria last 4-3. 

The match is expected to be tightly contested, with Slovenia’s structured approach clashing against Sweden’s dynamic forward play. Slovenia’s recent 1–0 win over Kosovo showcased their ability to grind out results, while Sweden’s 3–2 loss to Switzerland exposed gaps in their backline. Both teams are still calibrating their lineups, but the stakes are high, and tactical nuance will be key. Slovenia’s midfield trio, led by Jasmin Kurtić, will aim to disrupt Sweden’s rhythm and feed Šeško in behind the Swedish defense. On the other side, Sweden will rely on Kulusevski’s dribbling and Gyökeres’ movement to unlock Slovenia’s compact shape.

Given current form and squad dynamics, a 2–1 scoreline in favor of Slovenia feels plausible. Oblak’s leadership at the back, combined with Šeško’s clinical finishing, could edge the hosts ahead, despite Sweden’s attacking prowess. Expect Sweden to find the net—likely through Gyökeres—but Slovenia’s home grit and tactical discipline should carry them through. It’s a matchup that promises intensity, with both nations eager to stake their claim in the race to North America 2026.