Penarol vs Plaza Colonia Prediction & Betting Tips (6 September)

Peñarol return to the Estadio Campeón del Siglo this weekend with momentum and swagger, having dispatched River Plate 2-0 in their last outing. Diego Aguirre’s side, currently sitting near the top of the Clausura table, have been ruthless at home, winning all five of their recent matches in Montevideo and scoring 13 goals in the process. The attacking trio of Leonardo Fernández, David Terans, and Maximiliano Silvera continues to be Aguirre’s go-to formula, with Fernández in particular showing flashes of his 2024 Libertadores brilliance. Despite a recent Copa Libertadores exit to Racing Club, Peñarol’s domestic form remains imperious, and the squad’s depth—bolstered by the likes of Héctor Villalba and Eric Remedi—gives them a clear edge heading into this fixture.

Plaza Colonia, meanwhile, are navigating turbulent waters. Winless in their last five league matches and languishing near the bottom of the table, Sebastián Díaz’s men have struggled to find rhythm or consistency. Their most recent defeat, a 0-1 loss to Defensor Sporting, highlighted their lack of cutting edge in the final third. Álvaro López, a recent arrival from Universidad de Concepción, has shown promise but remains isolated up front. The midfield, anchored by veterans Facundo Píriz and Angel Cayetano, has lacked dynamism, and defensive lapses—particularly from the backline led by Santiago Brunelli and Modibo Traoré—have cost them dearly. Plaza’s away form is especially concerning, with just one goal scored in their last three road games.

Historically, Peñarol have dominated this matchup, winning three of their last five meetings against Plaza Colonia, including a 2-0 victory earlier this year. The tactical contrast is stark: Peñarol’s high press and fluid transitions often overwhelm Plaza’s more static, possession-based approach. Aguirre’s men are expected to control the tempo, exploiting Plaza’s vulnerability on the flanks and set pieces. With Brayan Cortés in goal and a backline that has conceded just twice in five matches, Peñarol’s defensive solidity should allow their midfield to push higher and dictate play. Plaza will likely sit deep and hope for counterattacking opportunities, but their recent lack of goals makes that a risky proposition.

Given current form, squad strength, and historical precedent, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Peñarol feels both realistic and fitting. Plaza Colonia may find a moment of brilliance—perhaps through a set piece or a López solo effort—but Peñarol’s attacking depth and home dominance should see them through. Expect Fernández to be involved in both goals, with Silvera adding his name to the scoresheet. Plaza’s consolation may come late, but it’s unlikely to derail Peñarol’s march toward the top. This clash promises intensity, but the gulf in quality should ultimately tilt the balance in favor of the aurinegros.