Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips (14 September)

Burnley welcome reigning champions Liverpool to Turf Moor on Sunday, September 14th, in what promises to be a compelling Premier League clash. Scott Parker’s newly promoted side have shown grit and flashes of quality in their return to the top flight, bouncing back from a heavy opening defeat to Tottenham with wins over Sunderland and Derby County, and a narrow loss to Manchester United. Despite injury setbacks to key players like Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni, Parker has built a squad brimming with youthful energy and Premier League experience, including new arrivals Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, and Florentino Luis. Burnley’s home form has been solid, and they’ll look to frustrate Liverpool with their compact shape and counter-attacking threat.

Liverpool, under Arne Slot, have started their title defence with ruthless efficiency, winning all three of their opening fixtures. The Reds edged Arsenal 1-0 in their most recent outing, with Dominik Szoboszlai’s late free-kick sealing the points. Slot has had to juggle injuries and squad rotation, with Jeremie Frimpong and Conor Bradley nursing knocks, while new record signing Alexander Isak is expected to make his debut from the bench. The midfield has been bolstered by the arrival of Florian Wirtz, and Marc Guéhi’s deadline-day move from Crystal Palace adds steel to the backline. Liverpool’s late-goal habit—winners in the 83rd, 88th, and 100th minutes in recent matches—suggests they’re never out of a contest.

Tactically, this match could hinge on Burnley’s ability to absorb pressure and exploit Liverpool’s high line. With Parker likely to deploy a 4-2-3-1, expect Jaidon Anthony and Loum Tchaouna to test Liverpool’s full-backs, while Jacob Bruun Larsen could be key in transition. Liverpool, meanwhile, will dominate possession and look to overload the flanks, with Mo Salah and Cody Gakpo stretching Burnley’s defence. Szoboszlai’s set-piece prowess and Wirtz’s creativity between the lines could unlock the Clarets, but Burnley’s defensive record at home—just two goals conceded so far—should not be underestimated.

Despite Liverpool’s dominance in recent meetings, including five straight wins, Turf Moor has historically been a tricky venue. With Burnley’s resilience and Liverpool’s attacking depth, a 2-1 away win feels plausible. Expect Burnley to strike first, perhaps through a set piece or a moment of individual brilliance, before Liverpool’s quality turns the tide. Late goals have been a theme for the Reds, and this fixture may follow suit, with Isak or Salah delivering the decisive blow in the final stages.