Palermo vs Bari Prediction & Betting Tips (19 September)

Palermo welcome Bari to the Renzo Barbera on September 19th in a clash that pits early-season optimism against mounting pressure. The Rosanero, under the guidance of Filippo Inzaghi, have started their Serie B campaign with a measured blend of defensive solidity and attacking flair. With four points from two matches and a recent 2-1 win over Reggiana, Palermo sit comfortably in the top half of the table. Matteo Brunori and Joel Pohjanpalo have already shown signs of a potent partnership up front, while new signing Michele Avella adds depth between the posts. Inzaghi’s tactical shift to a 3-4-2-1 has given Palermo more control in midfield, with Filippo Ranocchia orchestrating play and Jérémy Le Douaron offering versatility in attack.

Bari, meanwhile, are still searching for their first win of the season. Moreno Longo’s side have struggled to find rhythm, collecting just one point from three outings and languishing near the bottom of the table. Their most recent result—a 1-1 draw against Monza—offered glimpses of improvement, but defensive frailties remain a concern. Michele Cerofolini has been under siege in goal, conceding six times already, while the attack has lacked bite despite the presence of Gabriele Moncini and Riccardo Pagano. Injuries to key players like Bismark Mane and Vasilije Colangiuli have further complicated Longo’s selection options, forcing tactical reshuffles that have yet to yield results.

Historically, Palermo have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings. However, Bari did claim a 2-1 victory in their most recent head-to-head back in April, a result that still stings for the Sicilians. This time, the momentum favors the hosts. Palermo’s recent form—unbeaten in their last three matches and boasting two clean sheets—suggests a team growing in confidence. Bari, on the other hand, have conceded in every game this season and are yet to score more than once in a match. The contrast in form and morale could be decisive, especially with the Renzo Barbera crowd expected to be in full voice.

Given the current trajectory of both teams, a 2-1 win for Palermo feels like a calculated prediction rather than a hopeful punt. Expect Brunori to find the net again, possibly assisted by Ranocchia’s vision from midfield. Bari may snatch a goal through a set piece or a moment of individual brilliance—Moncini remains capable of producing magic—but their defensive lapses are likely to be punished. With Inzaghi’s side growing sharper by the week and Bari still in flux, this fixture could mark a turning point in Palermo’s push for promotion and deepen Bari’s early-season woes.