Mallorca vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips (21 September)

Mallorca welcome Atlético Madrid to the Estadi Son Moix this Sunday in a clash that pits a struggling host against a side still searching for rhythm. Jagoba Arrasate’s men have endured a rocky start to the 2025–26 LaLiga campaign, collecting just one point from four matches and sitting 19th in the table. Despite facing heavyweights like Barcelona and Real Madrid early on, the Pirates have shown flashes of resilience, notably in their narrow 2-1 defeat at the Bernabéu. Vedat Muriqi remains their focal point in attack, having returned from suspension to score against Los Blancos, while Sergi Darder and Mateu Morey offer midfield grit and width. With only Javi Llabres doubtful, Arrasate has a near-full squad to choose from, though the pressure is mounting to convert performances into points.

Atlético Madrid, meanwhile, arrive in Mallorca buoyed by a 2-0 win over Villarreal, their first league victory of the season. Diego Simeone’s side have been uncharacteristically inconsistent, drawing twice and losing once in their opening four fixtures. Injuries have played a role—Julian Alvarez, Thiago Almada, and José María Giménez are all sidelined—but Antoine Griezmann continues to orchestrate the attack with his trademark guile. Pablo Barrios and Koke anchor the midfield, while Jan Oblak remains a reliable presence between the posts. Simeone’s tactical rigidity has been tested, and with European fixtures looming, he’ll be keen to see his side build momentum domestically.

Historically, Atlético have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last six meetings and conceding just twice in that span. Yet Mallorca’s home form, while modest, has shown signs of life. Their 2-0 preseason win over HSV and a gritty draw against Celta Vigo suggest they’re capable of frustrating superior opposition. The key for the hosts will be maintaining defensive discipline while exploiting set pieces and counterattacks—areas where Muriqi’s aerial prowess and Darder’s delivery can make a difference. Atlético, for their part, must avoid the complacency that cost them points earlier in the season and ensure their midfield doesn’t get overrun by Mallorca’s pressing game.

With both teams trending toward low-scoring affairs but showing vulnerability at the back, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Atlético Madrid feels plausible. Mallorca are likely to find the net, especially given Atlético’s recent defensive lapses and the absence of key personnel. However, the visitors possess enough firepower and experience to edge a tight contest. Expect Griezmann to be involved in both goals, with Muriqi grabbing a consolation for the hosts. It won’t be a walk in the park for Simeone’s men, but it should be a step forward in their quest to reassert themselves in LaLiga’s upper tier.