Santarem vs Caldas Prediction & Betting Tips (24 September)

Santarém and Caldas SC are set to clash on September 24, 2025, in a Liga 3 Group B fixture that promises tactical intrigue and competitive fire. The match will be held at Campo Chã das Padeiras in Marvila, with kickoff scheduled for 14:00 UTC. Santarém, currently sitting mid-table, have shown resilience in recent outings, including a gritty 1-1 draw against Sporting Covilhã. Their defensive structure, led by a disciplined backline, has conceded just 0.4 goals per match over the last five games, a testament to coach Ricardo Chéu’s emphasis on compactness and transitional control.

Caldas, meanwhile, arrive with momentum after a commanding 4-0 win over AD Portomosense. Their attacking trio, spearheaded by the in-form João Silva, has been clinical, averaging 1.6 goals per match in their last five outings. Under the guidance of manager José Vala, Caldas have embraced a more expansive style, often pressing high and exploiting wide channels. However, their defensive record remains a concern, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match, leaving them vulnerable to counter-attacks—something Santarém are well-equipped to exploit.

Historically, Santarém have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 1-0 away victory in April. Their ability to stifle Caldas’ rhythm and capitalize on set pieces has been a recurring theme. With both teams averaging similar goal-scoring rates this season—Santarém at 0.67 and Caldas at 1.0 per match—the margins are expected to be razor-thin. The midfield battle, likely featuring Santarém’s industrious Pedro Pinto against Caldas’ creative linchpin Tiago Gonçalves, could tilt the balance.

Given the tactical profiles and recent form, a 2-1 victory for Santarém appears plausible. Expect them to absorb early pressure, strike through a well-timed transition, and edge ahead with a late goal—perhaps from a dead-ball situation. Caldas will likely respond with intensity, but Santarém’s defensive discipline and home advantage should see them through. It’s a scoreline that reflects both teams’ strengths and flaws, and one that aligns with the rhythm of their recent performances.