Mallorca vs Alaves Prediction & Betting Tips (27 September)

Mallorca welcome Alaves to the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on September 27 with both sides navigating contrasting trajectories in LaLiga. The hosts, under Jagoba Arrasate’s guidance, are flirting with European qualification, sitting eighth in the table and level on points with sixth-placed Rayo Vallecano. Their recent form has been steady, with a sequence of draws and a crucial win over Getafe keeping them in the mix. Arrasate’s side has shown resilience at home, collecting 19 points from 13 matches, and will be keen to avenge the 1-0 defeat they suffered against Alaves earlier this season.

Alaves, meanwhile, are entrenched in a relegation scrap, languishing in 19th place with only nine points from 13 away games. Eduardo Coudet’s men have struggled to replicate last season’s mid-table finish, managing just one league win since November. Their recent 1-0 loss to Espanyol extended a five-match winless run, and with injuries to key players like Carlos Protesoni, Lucas Boye, and Nikola Maras, squad depth is a growing concern. Despite their precarious position, Alaves remain just one point adrift of safety, and their fighting spirit could make them dangerous opponents.

Mallorca’s attacking edge could prove decisive, especially with their superior goal-scoring rate of 1.1 per match compared to Alaves’ 0.8. The Pirates have also been more consistent defensively at home, conceding fewer goals than their visitors. Expect Dani Rodríguez and Vedat Muriqi to be influential in breaking down Alaves’ backline, which has shown vulnerability on the road. With Alaves likely to sit deep and absorb pressure, Mallorca’s ability to control possession and create chances from wide areas will be pivotal.

Given the tactical setup and current form, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Mallorca feels plausible. Alaves may find a way to breach the hosts’ defense—perhaps through a set-piece or a moment of individual brilliance—but Mallorca’s overall cohesion and home advantage should see them edge this contest. It’s a fixture that promises tension and stakes on both ends of the table, with Mallorca pushing for Europe and Alaves fighting for survival.