Leganes vs Castellon Prediction & Betting Tips (29 September)

As Leganés prepare to host Castellón at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque on September 29th, the mood in Madrid’s southern suburb is cautiously optimistic. Leganés, currently sitting 12th in the LaLiga2 table with seven points, have shown resilience in recent weeks, grinding out draws against Deportivo La Coruña and Cádiz, and securing a vital away win over Granada. Head coach Borja Jiménez has leaned on a compact midfield and disciplined backline, with winger Dani Raba emerging as a key creative outlet. The team’s recent form—one win and four draws in their last five—suggests a side that’s hard to beat but still searching for attacking sharpness.

Castellón, meanwhile, are navigating turbulent waters. Anchored near the bottom of the table in 20th place with just two points, their defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly. Despite a spirited 3-3 draw against AD Ceuta and a surprise 3-1 away win over Cultural Leonesa, inconsistency remains their Achilles’ heel. Head coach Dick Schreuder has been experimenting with his lineup, trying to find a balance between youth and experience. Midfielder Jorge Fernández has been a bright spot, contributing both goals and energy, but Castellón’s porous defense—conceding in every match so far—continues to undermine their efforts.

Tactically, Leganés will likely dominate possession and look to exploit Castellón’s defensive lapses with quick transitions. Expect Jiménez to deploy a 4-2-3-1 setup, pressing high and relying on set pieces to break the deadlock. Castellón, on the other hand, may opt for a more conservative 4-4-2, hoping to absorb pressure and strike on the counter. Their recent matches have seen them concede early, forcing them to chase games—a pattern they’ll be desperate to break. With both teams averaging over 1.5 goals per match, the fixture promises attacking intent, albeit with defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Our prediction leans toward a 2-1 victory for Leganés. The hosts’ superior form and home advantage should tip the balance, though Castellón’s ability to score—especially in chaotic moments—makes them a threat. Expect Leganés to take an early lead, Castellón to respond with a scrappy equalizer, and the winner to come late, possibly from a set piece or a moment of individual brilliance. It won’t be a walkover, but Leganés have the edge in structure and momentum.