Hearts vs Hibernian Prediction & Betting Tips (4 October)

The Edinburgh derby returns with a fresh layer of intrigue as Hearts host Hibernian at Tynecastle Park on October 4th. Hearts enter the clash riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their last six matches and boasting recent wins over Falkirk, Rangers, and Livingston. Manager Steven Naismith has instilled a gritty resilience in his squad, evident in their ability to grind out results even when not at their best. Despite a few injury setbacks—Calem Nieuwenhof, Craig Gordon, and Christian Dahle Borchgrevink among those sidelined—the Jambos have shown depth and adaptability, with Lawrence Shankland continuing to lead the line with clinical precision.

Hibernian, meanwhile, have had a more turbulent run, drawing three of their last five and suffering defeats to Rangers and Falkirk. Nick Montgomery’s side has struggled to find consistency, especially away from home, where defensive lapses have cost them dearly. The absence of key players like Alasana Manneh, Joe Newell, and Thody Élie Youan due to injuries has further complicated matters, leaving the midfield thin and the attack short on pace. Yet, Hibs remain a dangerous outfit, capable of springing surprises, particularly in derby settings where form often takes a back seat to passion.

Historically, Hearts have held the upper hand in this fixture, with 22 wins to Hibernian’s 13 in their head-to-head record. Recent meetings have been tightly contested, with draws and narrow margins dominating the scorelines. However, Hearts’ current form and home advantage tilt the scales in their favor. Their defensive solidity, conceding just 0.6 goals per match at home, contrasts sharply with Hibs’ vulnerability on the road, where they average 1.4 goals conceded per game. This statistical edge, coupled with the emotional lift of a home crowd, sets the stage for a compelling encounter.

Our prediction leans toward a 2-1 victory for Hearts—a scoreline that reflects both their attacking efficiency and Hibs’ capacity to strike back. Expect a cagey first half, with Hearts gradually asserting control through midfield dominance and set-piece threats. Hibernian may find a late lifeline, but the Jambos’ discipline and tactical edge should see them through. In a derby where margins matter, Hearts look poised to claim bragging rights once again.

• Summary: Heart of Midlothian is going head to head with Hibernian starting on 4 Oct 2025 at 16:45 UTC . The match is a part of the Scottish Premiership .
• Hearts Feedinco Rating: 7.03
• Hibernian Feedinco Rating: 6.83