Alaves vs Elche Prediction & Betting Tips (5 October)

As Matchweek 8 of LaLiga approaches, all eyes turn to Estadio de Mendizorroza where Deportivo Alavés host Elche in what promises to be a tightly contested affair. Alavés, under the stewardship of Luis García Plaza, have been a model of balance—two wins, two draws, and two losses from their opening six matches. Their recent 1-0 upset over Athletic Bilbao away from home has injected fresh belief into a squad that’s been searching for rhythm. Carlos Vicente leads their scoring chart with two goals, while midfielders Toni Moya and Jon Guridi have added bite and creativity in the center of the park. The team’s average possession hovers just below 50%, a sign of their pragmatic approach.

Elche, meanwhile, arrive in Vitoria riding a wave of quiet momentum. Sebastián Beccacece’s men are undefeated in their last ten LaLiga outings, a streak that includes two wins and four draws this season. Their 2-2 draw against Sevilla showcased both resilience and attacking flair, with Rafa Mir and Andre Silva continuing to impress up front. Mir has already netted three times, while Silva has chipped in with two. German Valera has emerged as a key playmaker, crafting six chances in just five appearances. Elche’s possession stats are notably stronger than their hosts, averaging 56%, and they’ve been more clinical in front of goal with 1.5 goals per match.

Historically, this fixture has been a chess match rather than a shootout. In their last 18 meetings since 2003, Alavés hold a slight edge with eight wins to Elche’s seven, and three draws. In LaLiga, the record is dead even—two wins apiece from four encounters. Goals have been scarce, with an average of just 1.94 per match between the sides. Both teams have leaned heavily on defensive structure, with 14 of Alavés’s last 16 and 9 of Elche’s last 10 league games finishing under 2.5 goals. Yet, recent form and attacking sparks suggest this one could buck the trend.

With Alavés looking to build on their Bilbao triumph and Elche keen to extend their unbeaten run, expect a match of fine margins and tactical nuance. The prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win for Alavés—not just for their slight historical edge, but for the momentum and grit they’ve shown in recent weeks. Elche will likely find the net through Rafa Mir’s sharp finishing, but Alavés’s balanced attack and home advantage should tilt the scales. It’s a scoreline that respects Elche’s form while acknowledging Alavés’s growing confidence.