Fiorentina vs AS Roma Prediction & Betting Tips (5 October)

Sunday’s Serie A showdown at the Stadio Artemio Franchi promises fireworks as Fiorentina host AS Roma in a clash between two sides chasing European ambitions. Fiorentina arrive in Florence riding a wave of momentum, having stitched together a four-match winning streak across all competitions. Their latest triumph—a 4-2 comeback against St. Gallen in the Europa Conference League—showcased their attacking flair, with Jordan Ikoné netting twice in the second half. Manager Raffaele Palladino, who endured a rocky start with just one win in his first eight games, now seems to have found the rhythm. The Viola’s recent 6-0 demolition of Lecce was their biggest away win in nearly six decades, and they’ve also claimed back-to-back home victories over Milan and Lazio, both by the same 2-1 scoreline.

Roma, meanwhile, are navigating a more turbulent stretch. Head coach Ivan Juric, who replaced Daniele De Rossi earlier this season, has managed two wins in his first three Serie A outings but still faces scrutiny after a narrow 1-0 loss to Inter. The Giallorossi did manage to steady the ship midweek with a 1-0 win over Dynamo Kyiv in the Europa League, thanks to a penalty from Artem Dovbyk—his fifth goal in eight appearances. However, Roma’s league form remains patchy, with only two wins from their opening eight matches, marking their worst start since 2010. Injuries haven’t helped either: Leon Bailey remains sidelined with a long-term issue, and Paulo Dybala is racing against time to recover from a hamstring strain. Though he may feature from the bench, his absence from the starting XI could blunt Roma’s attacking edge.

Tactically, Fiorentina have been slow starters this season, with ten of their 14 goals arriving after halftime. Yet their recent home form suggests they’re learning to strike early, as seen in their 2-1 win over Milan. Roma, on the other hand, have struggled to impose themselves in the first half, often relying on late surges or set pieces to salvage results. With both teams boasting firepower but also showing defensive vulnerabilities, the match is likely to be open and high-scoring. Historically, encounters at the Franchi between these sides have leaned toward goal-heavy affairs, with six of the last eight meetings featuring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Given the current form and squad dynamics, Fiorentina appear slightly better equipped to edge this contest. Their confidence, home advantage, and attacking depth—especially with Ikoné and Nico González in form—could prove decisive. Roma’s resilience under Juric is commendable, but the absence of Bailey and the limited availability of Dybala may leave them short in key moments. Expect a spirited battle, but the prediction leans toward a 2-1 victory for Fiorentina, echoing the scoreline that has defined their recent home successes and past duels with Roma.