Burundi vs Kenya Prediction & Betting Tips (9 October)

Kenya is poised to edge Burundi 2-1 in a tightly contested World Championship 2026 qualifier, with both teams fielding revamped squads and recent form suggesting a narrow win for the Harambee Stars.

Burundi enters the fixture with a blend of seasoned campaigners and emerging European-based talent, as head coach Etienne Ndayiragije named a 27-man squad featuring midfield anchor Gael Bigirimana and forward Mohammed Amissi of SC Feyenoord. Despite a promising start to their qualifying campaign with a 3-2 win over Gambia, the Intamba faltered against Gabon, losing 2-1 despite a late goal from Abedi Bigirimana. Their recent form has been patchy, with three losses in their last four matches and a worrying trend of underperformance in away fixtures. The omission of veteran Saido Berahino signals a tactical shift, with younger forwards like Elvis Kamsoba and Bienvenu Kanakimana expected to shoulder the attacking burden.



Kenya, under the guidance of Benni McCarthy, has shown signs of resurgence. The Harambee Stars have netted 12 goals in their last three matches, including a 5-0 demolition of Seychelles and a 3-1 win over Zimbabwe. McCarthy’s latest squad blends domestic stalwarts like Michael Olunga and Austine Odhiambo with overseas talent such as Timothy Ouma (Lech Poznan) and Job Ochieng (Real Sociedad). Defensive depth remains a concern, especially with Eric Ouma ruled out due to injury, though Zak Vyner of Bristol City could debut to reinforce the backline. Kenya’s attacking trio—Olunga, Ogam, and Okoth—has been prolific, and their chemistry could be decisive against Burundi’s vulnerable defense.

Historically, Kenya has dominated this fixture, with three wins and two draws in their last six meetings. Burundi’s last victory came in their first-ever encounter, and since then, they’ve struggled to break down Kenya’s disciplined setup. The match, set to unfold at Nyayo Stadium, promises intensity and tactical nuance. With Kenya’s recent scoring spree and Burundi’s defensive frailties, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the Harambee Stars feels both realistic and reflective of current trajectories. Expect Olunga to find the net early, with Burundi clawing one back through Bigirimana, only for Kenya to seal the win late through a set-piece finish.

• Summary: Burundi is going head to head with Kenya starting on 9 Oct 2025 at 13:00 UTC at Prince Louis Rwagasore Stadium stadium, Bujumbura city, Burundi. The match is a part of the FIFA World Cup, Qualification CAF, Group F .