AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale Prediction & Betting Tips (11 October)

AFC Wimbledon return to Plough Lane this Saturday riding a wave of momentum, having stitched together a five-match winning streak that has propelled them into the top five of League One. Johnnie Jackson’s side has found its rhythm, with Danilo Orsi emerging as a key figure up front. Orsi’s recent brace against Blackpool not only sealed the win but also marked his third goal of the season, a timely boost given the absence of fellow forwards Antwoine Hackford and Matty Stevens. With Osman Fayo suspended, the attacking duties will likely fall to Orsi and Omar Bugiel, who remains available despite Lebanon’s international call-ups.

Port Vale, meanwhile, arrive in London with a mixed bag of form. Darren Moore’s men sit 16th in the table, having collected 12 points from 11 matches. Their recent outings include a hard-fought loss to Arsenal in the EFL Cup and a draw against Accrington Stanley in the EFL Trophy, showcasing resilience but also exposing their inconsistency. Injuries to key players like striker Mo Faal and midfielder Sammy Hutchinson have thinned their options, though the squad still boasts capable performers such as Devante Cole, who could pose problems for Wimbledon’s backline.

Historically, encounters between these two sides have been unpredictable, with Port Vale edging the last meeting 2-0 back in April. However, Wimbledon’s home form has been formidable this season, with three consecutive wins at Cherry Red Records Stadium. Defensively, they’ve tightened up, recording their first clean sheet in eight games against Blackpool, while Port Vale have managed three shutouts in their last five. The tactical battle between Jackson’s high-pressing style and Moore’s more measured approach could define the tempo of this clash.

As for the scoreline, we’re leaning into the narrative of Wimbledon’s resurgence and Port Vale’s patchy away form. Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends, but the edge should go to the hosts. Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon 2, Port Vale 1.