Leiria vs Oliveirense Prediction & Betting Tips (11 October)

União de Leiria will host UD Oliveirense on October 11, 2025, at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa in what promises to be a compelling Liga Portugal 2 clash. Leiria, currently sitting 5th in the table with 11 points, have shown resilience at home, winning both of their matches on familiar turf this season. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with three wins and two losses in their last five outings, but their attacking edge remains sharp. Coach Vasco Botelho da Costa has leaned on a balanced 4-3-3 setup, with midfield dynamo Kiko Bondoso pulling strings and striker João Paredes continuing to be a reliable goal threat.

Oliveirense, meanwhile, are struggling to find consistency, languishing in 13th place with just 7 points. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with two defeats in their last three road games. The team’s tactical approach under coach Fábio Pereira has been more conservative, often relying on counter-attacks and set pieces to create chances. Unfortunately, they’ll be missing midfielder Alexis Lottin due to a muscle fiber tear, sidelining him until late October. This absence could further weaken their midfield stability, which has already been under scrutiny in recent matches.



Historically, Leiria have dominated this fixture, winning the last four meetings, including a commanding 5-0 victory earlier this year. Oliveirense’s last win over Leiria dates back to 2022, and recent head-to-head stats suggest a psychological edge for the home side. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring games, with under 2.5 goals appearing in the majority of their recent fixtures. However, Leiria’s home advantage and Oliveirense’s defensive vulnerabilities could tilt the balance toward a more open contest this time around.

While statistical models lean toward a Leiria win, we’re forecasting a more competitive affair than the odds suggest. Expect Oliveirense to find the net through a well-worked set piece, but Leiria’s attacking depth and home momentum should see them edge ahead. Our prediction: a 2-1 victory for União de Leiria, with late drama likely to decide the outcome.

• Summary: União de Leiria is going head to head with UD Oliveirense starting on 11 Oct 2025 at 14:30 UTC at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa stadium, Leiria city, Portugal. The match is a part of the Liga Portugal 2 .
• Leiria Feedinco Rating: 6.85
• Oliveirense Feedinco Rating: 6.88