Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction & Betting Tips (26 October)

Rayo Vallecano enter this fixture riding high after a commanding 3-0 away win over Levante, where Jorge de Frutos netted twice and Álvaro García added a third to seal the result. That victory pushed Rayo to 11 points from nine matches, placing them mid-table and within striking distance of the top half. Manager Iñigo Pérez has found a rhythm with his 4-4-2 setup, leaning on the creativity of Isi Palazón and the pace of Álvaro García to stretch defenses. Their Conference League campaign also remains alive, with a trip to Sweden to face Hacken looming, suggesting squad rotation could be a factor. Despite a modest goal tally this season, Rayo’s recent form signals a team growing in confidence and cohesion.

Alaves, meanwhile, come off a goalless draw against Valencia at Mendizorroza, a result that nudged them to 12 points and tenth place in the standings. Their previous outing was more explosive—a 3-1 win over Elche—highlighting their ability to capitalize on weaker opposition. Coach Luis García Plaza has instilled a pragmatic approach, often deploying a compact midfield anchored by Ander Guevara and Denis Suárez. Injuries to key players like Filip Ugrinic and Dimitri Foulquier have raised concerns, but the squad has shown resilience. The defense, led by Antonio Sivera in goal and Nahuel Tenaglia at the back, has kept two clean sheets in the last three matches, a testament to their growing solidity.

Tactically, this matchup promises a contrast in styles. Rayo’s high press and wide play will test Alaves’ disciplined shape and counter-attacking instincts. The midfield battle could be decisive, especially if Unai López and Óscar Valentín can dictate tempo for the hosts. Alaves may look to exploit set pieces and second balls, areas where Rayo have occasionally faltered. Both teams have scored 11 goals this season, but Rayo’s recent attacking surge gives them a slight edge. The fixture also marks a reunion for Jorge de Frutos, who previously played under García Plaza, adding a layer of narrative intrigue.

Considering form, injuries, and tactical setups, a narrow win for Rayo Vallecano seems the most plausible outcome. Their home advantage and attacking flair, especially from García and de Frutos, should be enough to edge past a disciplined but limited Alaves side. Expect Alaves to respond with a goal—perhaps from a set piece or a moment of individual brilliance—but Rayo’s momentum and sharper finishing should prevail. Our prediction: a 2-1 victory for Rayo Vallecano, a scoreline that reflects both teams’ current trajectories and the competitive balance of this LaLiga clash.