Benfica vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips (9 November)

After suffering a new defeat in the Champions League, Benfica will seek to get even in the Primeira Liga where they are third, 4 points behind the lead. The 'eagles' receive the weak Casa Pía, which has not won for several dates and occupies the promotion zone due to permanence.The poor campaign in the Champions League has put José Mourinho's continuity as Benfica coach in doubt. The 'eagles' have just lost 0-1 against Bayer Leverkusen in the European tournament and still have not scored any points. At least in the Portuguese league they have just celebrated 3 consecutive wins in which they did not concede any goals. The most recent was the 0-3 win over Vitoria Guimaraes.

Casa Pía, for its part, lost in the two recent rounds and received a total of 9 goals. Last week they lost 3-5 to Estrela and were previously beaten 4-0 by Braga. It should be noted that in both matches they went into half-time with two goals against. In addition, they already lost against the other two 'bigs' of the tournament: Porto 4-0 and Sporting Lisbon 0-2.

The contrast between the two sides could not be clearer. Benfica’s attacking trio has been in fine form, with goals coming from multiple sources, while their defensive line has tightened up after early-season lapses. Casa Pia, meanwhile, have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding heavily against top-tier opponents like Porto and Braga. The tactical battle will likely see Benfica dominate possession, pressing high and forcing Casa Pia into mistakes, while the visitors will attempt to counter through quick transitions. However, their recent inability to hold firm against stronger sides suggests they may find themselves overwhelmed at the Estádio da Luz. The gulf in quality, squad depth, and recent performances all point toward a one-sided contest.

Taking all factors into account, Benfica are overwhelming favorites to secure a comfortable victory in front of their home supporters. Their recent form in both domestic and European competitions highlights their strength, while Casa Pia’s defensive frailties make them vulnerable against a side of this caliber. With the attacking firepower Benfica possess and the confidence they are carrying into this match, the prediction leans heavily toward a decisive result. The expectation is that Benfica will control the game from start to finish, and the most likely outcome is a commanding 3:0 scoreline in favor of the home side.

• Summary: Benfica is going head to head with Casa Pia starting on 9 Nov 2025 at 20:30 UTC at Estádio da Luz stadium, Lisbon city, Portugal. The match is a part of the Liga Portugal Betclic .
• Referee: Gustavo Correia
• Benfica Feedinco Rating: 7.07
• Casa Pia Feedinco Rating: 6.66