Liverpool M. vs Penarol Prediction & Betting Tips (16 November)

Liverpool Montevideo enter this clash with mixed form over the past two months, showing resilience but also inconsistency in the Clausura. Their recent fixtures included a 2-0 defeat against Cerro Largo on November 7, a narrow 1-0 loss to Plaza Colonia on November 1, and a strong 3-1 victory over Racing Club Montevideo on October 26. These results highlight a team capable of producing attacking football but vulnerable when pressed by disciplined defenses. News around the club has focused on the contributions of Abel Hernández, who remains their top scorer this season, and the tactical adjustments made by coach Jorge Bava to stabilize performances. Liverpool’s supporters are eager to see their side rise to the challenge against one of Uruguay’s giants, knowing that a win could significantly boost their standing in the Clausura table.

Peñarol, by contrast, have enjoyed a more consistent run in recent weeks, reinforcing their reputation as one of Uruguay’s most dominant clubs. In the past two months, they secured a 2-0 victory over Montevideo City Torque on November 9, a 2-1 win against Defensor Sporting on November 2, and a convincing 3-0 triumph over Danubio on October 19. Their squad depth has been a major talking point, with forwards Matías Arezo and Maximiliano Silvera continuing to deliver crucial goals. Off the pitch, Peñarol have also been in the news for their preparations for the upcoming Copa Libertadores campaign, with management emphasizing squad rotation to maintain freshness. The team’s defensive solidity has been particularly impressive, conceding very few goals in recent matches, which makes them a formidable opponent for Liverpool Montevideo.

The head-to-head history between Liverpool Montevideo and Peñarol has been competitive, with both sides trading victories in recent encounters. Earlier this year, Liverpool managed a 3-2 win over Peñarol in June, while Peñarol responded with a 2-1 victory in the Copa Uruguay in September. These matches underline the unpredictable nature of this fixture, where momentum and tactical discipline often decide the outcome. Liverpool will rely heavily on their home advantage at Estadio Belvedere, hoping to exploit Peñarol’s occasional lapses in midfield control. Meanwhile, Peñarol’s experience in high-pressure games and their ability to adapt tactically under coach Diego Aguirre give them a slight edge. Fans anticipate a tightly contested battle, with both teams motivated by the stakes in the Clausura standings and the prestige of overcoming a historic rival.

Considering recent form, squad news, and tactical setups, this upcoming clash promises to be a tense and low-scoring affair. Liverpool Montevideo’s attacking threats may find it difficult to break down Peñarol’s organized backline, while Peñarol’s forwards will look to capitalize on limited opportunities. Given Peñarol’s recent consistency and Liverpool’s struggles in key matches, the most realistic prediction points toward a narrow away victory. Therefore, the forecast for this Liga AUF Uruguaya encounter is a 0:1 scoreline in favor of Peñarol, reflecting their ability to edge out Liverpool Montevideo with disciplined defense and clinical finishing.

• Summary: Liverpool UY is going head to head with Peñarol starting on 16 Nov 2025 at 21:00 UTC at Estadio Belvedere stadium, Montevideo city, Uruguay. The match is a part of the Liga AUF Uruguaya, Playoffs .