Alverca vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips (7 December)

Alverca enter this clash against Nacional with renewed confidence after their recent 2-0 away victory over Casa Pia at the end of November, a result that lifted them slightly in the Liga Portugal standings. This win followed a 1-1 draw against Rio Ave and a tough 2-0 defeat to Sporting CP earlier in the month. Their form has been inconsistent, but the triumph over Casa Pia showcased resilience and a sharper attacking edge, with Lincoln and Marko Milovanović finding the net. The club’s return to the top flight this season has been marked by ups and downs, yet their ability to grind out results against mid-table opponents has kept them competitive. News from the past two months has highlighted Alverca’s ambition to stabilize in the league, with manager Custódio emphasizing defensive solidity after heavy defeats against Gil Vicente and Braga in October.

Nacional, meanwhile, have endured a more turbulent run of results, suffering a narrow 1-2 home defeat to Benfica on November 29 after previously drawing 1-1 with Estrela Amadora and losing 0-1 to Famalicão earlier in November. Their campaign has been characterized by inconsistency, with occasional flashes of quality such as the 3-2 win over Moreirense in early October and a hard-fought 1-1 draw away at Estoril later that month. Off the pitch, Nacional have been in the news for squad adjustments, including the signing of Daniel Jr from Vitória, which was seen as a move to bolster midfield creativity. Despite these efforts, the team has struggled to convert possession into goals, leaving them hovering near the lower half of the table. Their coach Tiago Margarido has stressed the need for sharper finishing, especially after the missed opportunities against Benfica that cost them valuable points.

The head-to-head narrative between these two sides adds intrigue, as both clubs are fighting to avoid being dragged deeper into relegation battles. Alverca’s recent form suggests they are slightly more stable, having collected points against Rio Ave and Casa Pia, while Nacional’s inability to hold leads has been a recurring issue. The Estádio da Madeira will provide a challenging atmosphere, but Alverca’s away win last week demonstrates their capacity to perform under pressure. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Alverca conceding heavily against Gil Vicente and Nacional leaking goals against Braga in the cup. Yet, the balance of play hints at a cagey encounter, where midfield battles and set pieces could prove decisive. The latest league table positions show Alverca with 14 points and Nacional with 12, underlining how close they are in terms of performance and how crucial this fixture is for both.

Considering the recent trajectory of both sides, this match is likely to be tight and low-scoring, with neither team willing to risk too much in pursuit of victory. Alverca’s ability to capitalize on limited chances, as seen in their win over Casa Pia, may give them the edge, while Nacional’s lack of cutting edge in front of goal continues to hinder their progress. With both managers prioritizing defensive organization after recent setbacks, the game could be decided by a single moment of quality or a defensive lapse. Therefore, the most realistic prediction for this encounter is a narrow Alverca win, with the correct scoreline being 1-0.

• Summary: FC Alverca is going head to head with CD Nacional starting on 7 Dec 2025 at 18:00 UTC at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca stadium, Alverca do Ribatejo city, Portugal. The match is a part of the Liga Portugal Betclic .
• Referee: Gustavo Correia
• Alverca Feedinco Rating: 6.77
• Nacional Feedinco Rating: 6.72