Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction. Derby will host Middlesbrough on Thursday 1 January in the England - Championship. Derby are in advantage over Middlesbrough with a better win rate of 72.47% (Derby) against 72.47% (Middlesbrough). Read on for all of our football predictions and betting tips from our Experts for this game. Live football stream link is also available.

Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Derby

Thursday 1 January

15:00

England - Championship

Finisehd

1 - 0

Middlesbrough

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Derby 1 - 0 Middlesbrough Highlights

Match Preview

Derby have won 8 of their last 24 games, and have lost 8 and drawn 8 points in the same period. Over this period of 24 matches, Derby have scored 33 goals and conceded 33. In their very last match, Derby played against the team and the match ended with a result of 1 - 2. For their part, Middlesbrough have won 12 in their last 24 matches, for which they have drawn 7 and conceded 5 defeats.

In their last meeting, Middlesbrough faced the club for a final result of 0 - 1. Between Derby who are currently 14th in the Championship with a total record of 8 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses, and Middlesbrough ranked 2nd in the Championship and presenting a total record of 12 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses, we see Middlesbrough's victory.

The historical context between these two clubs adds another layer of intrigue. Their most recent meeting at the Riverside Stadium in November 2025 ended in a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough, with Matt Targett and Morgan Whittaker overturning an early Derby goal from Patrick AgyemangSky Sports. Derby’s earlier win in August 2024 showed they can frustrate Middlesbrough when disciplined and compact, but the current form lines suggest Boro arrive with greater momentum. Both teams have been in the news for squad adjustments and tactical tweaks, with Derby focusing on stabilising their home form and Middlesbrough emphasising their promotion ambitions.

Taking all recent performances, squad updates and tactical patterns into account, this matchup appears likely to be tight, physical and decided by small margins. Derby’s home inconsistency contrasts with Middlesbrough’s strong away discipline, and the visitors’ ability to grind out narrow results has been a recurring theme over the past two months. With that in mind, and sticking firmly to the requested prediction, the most plausible outcome appears to be a narrow away win, with a correct score forecast of 0:1.

Summary: Derby County is going head to head with Middlesbrough starting on 1 Jan 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Pride Park Stadium stadium, Derby city, England. The match is a part of the Championship .
Derby Feedinco Rating: 6.75
Middlesbrough Feedinco Rating: 6.82

Tip Reasoning

If DERBY COUNTY win, Derby County would reduce the gap with Middlesbrough to a 8-point difference in the league table, and it would be:
- the end of a 4-match home winless streak for Derby County
- Derby County's 10th consecutive home match with at least 1 goal scored
If the match ends in a DRAW, Middlesbrough would remain 11 points ahead of Derby County in the league table, and it would be:
- Derby County's 5th consecutive home match without win
If MIDDLESBROUGH win, Middlesbrough would increase their lead over Derby County to 14 points in the league table, and it would be:
- Derby County's 5th consecutive home match without win
- Derby County's 6th consecutive home match failing to keep a clean sheet

This game has huge implications at both ends of the table, with Derby battling to stay up and Middlesbrough attempting to book a place in the playoffs. Although the two teams have very different ambitions, they each seem to love a draw, with the Derby managing six in 12 fourth-tier home games and the Middlesbrough securing a good place in the Championship.

Recommended Betting Tips for Derby vs Middlesbrough

Tip 1

Match Prediction

Middlesbrough Win

Best Odds

2.34

Chance

60%

2.34

2.34

2.34

Tip 2

Match Prediction

Draw or Middlesbrough Win

Best Odds

1.35

Chance

75%

1.35

1.35

1.35

Tip 3

Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Best Odds

1.69

Chance

62%

1.69

1.69

1.69

Tip 4

Match Prediction

Boh teams to score - NO

Best Odds

1.87

Chance

68%

1.87

1.87

1.87

Prediction

Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Derby 0 : 1 Middlesbrough

Users prediction by voting 1X2

Derby Win

11%

Draw

33%

Middlesbrough Win

56%

Derby vs Middlesbrough Stats

Head to Head	Home Team	Away Team
Name	Derby	Middlesbrough
Clean Sheet	10%	10%
Failed to Score	0%	20%
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.3
Goals Scored	1.6	1.7
WIN Rate	72.47%	72.47%
Last 5 Games	D D L L W	L W W D D

⚽ Goals Overview

Goals Scored Who will score more?

Middlesbrough is 6.25% better in terms of Goals Scored

1.6 Goals / Match

Derby at Home

1.7 Goals / Match

Middlesbrough at Away

Goals Conceded Who will concede more?

Middlesbrough is 7.69% better in terms of Goals Conceded

1.4 Conceded / Match

Derby at Home

1.3 Conceded / Match

Middlesbrough at Away

Derby vs Middlesbrough Timeline

Derby Results

Birmingham 1:1 Derby

Derby 1:1 Portsmouth

Sheffield Wed 0:3 Derby

Derby 1:1 Millwall

Derby 1:3 Leicester

Middlesbrough 2:1 Derby

Swansea 1:2 Derby

Derby 2:3 Watford

Blackburn 1:2 Derby

Derby 2:1 Hull

Sheffield Utd 1:3 Derby

Derby 1:0 QPR

Derby 1:0 Norwich

Oxford Utd 1:0 Derby

Derby 1:1 Southampton

Derby 1:1 Charlton

Wrexham 1:1 Derby

Derby 0:1 Preston

West Brom 0:1 Derby

Ipswich 2:2 Derby

Middlesbrough Results

Middlesbrough 0:0 Blackburn

Bristol City 2:0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 3:1 QPR

Charlton 1:2 Middlesbrough

Hull 1:4 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2:1 Derby

Middlesbrough 2:4 Coventry

Oxford Utd 1:1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2:1 Birmingham

Leicester 1:1 Middlesbrough

Watford 3:0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 1:1 Wrexham

Sheffield Wed 0:1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2:1 Ipswich

Portsmouth 1:0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 0:0 Stoke

Southampton 1:1 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2:1 West Brom

Preston 2:2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 1:0 Sheffield Utd

Overview

Derby Middlesbrough Prediction

Derby v Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips (and online live stream*) starts on Thursday 1 January in the England - Championship. Here on Feedinco, we will cover all types of match predictions, stats and all match previews for all England - Championship matches. You can find all statistics, last 5 games stats and Comparison for both teams Derby and Middlesbrough .

Feedinco Suggestion

From all statistics and latest matches and timeline data, our professional advice and experts suggest to bet on a Draw or Middlesbrough Win which have odds of 1.35. We also suggest the best bookmaker which is 1xBet which have better odds on this type of bet.

Middlesbrough has 60% to win against Derby

There is a 62% chance of this match having U2.5 goals

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TICKETS: Middlesbrough (H)

Derby v Middlesbrough Match Stats

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