AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction & Betting Tips (21 January)

Alkmaar have won 8 of their last 18 matches, and have conceded 6 losses and 4 draws over the same period. Over this period of 18 matches, Alkmaar scored 33 goals and conceded 31. In their very last meeting, Alkmaar played against the team and the match ended with a result of 1 - 3. For their part, Excelsior gleaned 6 victories in their last 18 meetings, for 2 draws and 10 defeats conceded.

In their last meeting, Excelsior faced the team of for a final score of 2 - 2. Between Alkmaar which is currently 8th in the Eredivisie with a total record of 8 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats, and Excelsior ranked 14th in the Eredivisie and presenting a total record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses, we see the victory of Alkmaar.

Excelsior, meanwhile, enter the contest with their own set of challenges but also flashes of resilience. Their latest form shows a team capable of surprising opponents, with a mixture of wins and losses shaping their recent league journey. Players like Naujoks and De Regt have been central to their attacking output, while the squad continues to adapt to tactical demands as they navigate a demanding Eredivisie schedule. Excelsior’s past two months have been marked by efforts to stabilize defensively and improve consistency, though their away performances remain an area of concern. Their previous draws and narrow defeats against stronger sides demonstrate that they can be competitive when structure and discipline align. ESPN

Taking all factors into account—recent form, squad dynamics, and historical matchups—this fixture leans toward a scenario where AZ’s superior individual quality and home advantage could ultimately prove decisive. Excelsior may find moments to threaten, especially if AZ’s defensive lapses reappear, but sustaining pressure across ninety minutes has been a recurring challenge for them. With AZ eager to reestablish authority and Excelsior striving to avoid another heavy defeat in Alkmaar, the match promises intensity and tactical contrasts. The most reasonable projection, based on current trajectories, is a 3–1 scoreline in favor of AZ Alkmaar.

• Summary: AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Excelsior starting on 21 Jan 2026 at 17:45 UTC at AFAS Stadion stadium, Alkmaar city, Netherlands. The match is a part of the VriendenLoterij Eredivisie .
• AZ Alkmaar Feedinco Rating: 6.81
• Excelsior Feedinco Rating: 6.71