St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction. St. Pauli will host Hamburger SV on Friday 23 January in the Germany - Bundesliga. St. Pauli are in advantage over Hamburger SV with a better win rate of 59.98% (Hamburger SV) against 47.48% (St. Pauli). Read on for all of our football predictions and betting tips from our Experts for this game. Live football stream link is also available.

St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction

St. Pauli

Friday 23 January

19:30

Germany - Bundesliga

Finisehd

0 - 0

Hamburger SV

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St. Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV Highlights

Match Preview

The next few months will be decisive for the future of Sankt Pauli in the Bundesliga. Present in the elite since last season, the club from the working-class districts of Hamburg now finds itself having to bring up the rear in this championship, with only 12 points accumulated during the first 17 days. Consequently, he is 4 units behind the first non-relegation team with a match in hand. After having experienced a catastrophic autumn, the Pirates of the League found some color in December by going 3 games without defeat. But 2026 got off to a bad start for the locals with two losses against Wolfsburg 2-1 and against Dortmund 3-2 last weekend. Hamburg, for its part, was able to climb into the elite in the off-season after long years spent at the lower level.

The objective, for this team, is therefore to be able to establish itself as firmly as possible in this Bundesliga and to avoid, whatever happens, taking the elevator in the other direction. HSV hasn't been at their best since the winter break either. Indeed, Merlin Polzin's players started with a defeat against Freiburg 2-1 and they had to be content with taking a point last weekend at Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0. In the ranking, Hamburg is in 14th place, 4 units ahead of the jump-off.

On the Sankt Pauli side, Austrian defender Nemeth is still forced to stay cool, injured. Same observation for the former Caen player Hountondji who is the most decisive player of this team with 4 goals, for the striker Sinani and for the captain Irvine who are also in the infirmary. Striker Jones is very present, he who scored his second goal of the season last weekend. The former Angevin and Brestois Pereira-Lage (2 assists) is still looking for his first goal in the Bundesliga. For HSV, the former Lyon and Rennes defender Omari is on the flank in the same way as the attacker Poulsen (1 goal) and that the Finnish international Suhonen recruited at the end of November.

Return planned, however, for defender Elfadli who was suspended last week. Up front, we could find the French striker Rayan Philippe (4 goals) who is the top scorer of this team with midfielder Lokonga. The important Dompé (2 goals) will also be available for this derby. The probable line-ups for Sankt Pauli - Hamburg:Sankt Pauli: Vasilj - Wahl, Dzwigala, Mets - Pyrka, Fujita, Sands, Smith, Oppie - Ceesay, Pereira Lage.

Summary: FC St. Pauli is going head to head with Hamburger SV starting on 23 Jan 2026 at 19:30 UTC at Millerntor-Stadion stadium, Hamburg - St. Pauli city, Germany. The match is a part of the Bundesliga .
St. Pauli Feedinco Rating: 6.68
Hamburger SV Feedinco Rating: 6.76

Tip Reasoning

If SANKT PAULI win, Sankt Pauli would reduce the gap with Hamburger SV to a 2-point difference in the league table, and it would be:
- the end of a 2-match losing streak for Sankt Pauli
- Hamburger SV's 6th consecutive away defeat
- Hamburger SV's 9th away match and no away win recorded yet
If the match ends in a DRAW, Hamburger SV would remain 5 points ahead of Sankt Pauli in the league table, and it would be:
- the end of a 2-match losing streak for Sankt Pauli
- the end of a 5-match away losing streak for Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV's 9th away match and no away win recorded yet
If HAMBURGER SV win, Hamburger SV would increase their lead over Sankt Pauli to 8 points in the league table, and it would be:
- Sankt Pauli's 3rd consecutive defeat
- the end of a 5-match away losing streak for Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV's first away win in 9 away matches
- Sankt Pauli's 8th home match and conceded in every home match

Since the beginning of this campaign, St. Pauli have featured 18 times across the Bundesliga, with no fewer than 18 of these matches delivering under 3.5 goals. For their part, Hamburger SV have been involved in 18 Bundesliga contests during the same period, and 12 of these continental games have delivered three goals or fewer.

Recommended Betting Tips for St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

Tip 1

Match Prediction

Draw

Best Odds

3.17

Chance

49%

3.17

3.06

2.9

3.17

Tip 2

Match Prediction

Draw or Hamburger SV Win

Best Odds

1.47

Chance

62%

1.47

1.47

1.41

1.47

Tip 3

Match Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Best Odds

1.21

Chance

82%

1.21

1.21

1.13

1.21

Tip 4

Match Prediction

Both teams to score

Best Odds

1.88

Chance

64%

1.88

1.88

2.16

1.88

Prediction

St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction

St. Pauli 1 : 1 Hamburger SV

Users prediction by voting 1X2

St. Pauli Win

57%

Draw

29%

Hamburger SV Win

14%

St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Stats

Head to Head	Home Team	Away Team
Name	St. Pauli	Hamburger SV
Clean Sheet	20%	20%
Failed to Score	50%	20%
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.6
Goals Scored	0.8	1.1
WIN Rate	47.48%	59.98%
Last 5 Games	D W L L L	L L L L W

⚽ Goals Overview

Goals Scored Who will score more?

Hamburger SV is 37.50% better in terms of Goals Scored

0.8 Goals / Match

St. Pauli at Home

1.1 Goals / Match

Hamburger SV at Away

Goals Conceded Who will concede more?

St. Pauli is 0.00% better in terms of Goals Conceded

1.6 Conceded / Match

St. Pauli at Home

1.6 Conceded / Match

Hamburger SV at Away

St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Timeline

St. Pauli Results

Dortmund 3:2 St. Pauli

Wolfsburg 2:1 St. Pauli

St. Pauli (Ger) 0:0 Werder Bremen (Ger)

Mainz 0:0 St. Pauli

St. Pauli 2:1 Heidenheim

FC Koln 1:1 St. Pauli

B. Monchengladbach 1:2 St. Pauli

Bayern Munich 3:1 St. Pauli

St. Pauli 0:1 Union Berlin

Freiburg 2:1 St. Pauli

St. Pauli 0:4 B. Monchengladbach

Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 St. Pauli

St. Pauli 0:3 Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen 1:0 St. Pauli

St. Pauli 1:2 Bayer Leverkusen

Stuttgart 2:0 St. Pauli

St. Pauli 2:1 Augsburg

Holstein Kiel (Ger) 1:1 St. Pauli (Ger)

Hamburger SV 0:2 St. Pauli

Hamburger SV Results

Hamburger SV 0:0 B. Monchengladbach

Freiburg 2:1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Hoffenheim 4:1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 3:2 Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV 2:1 Stuttgart

Augsburg 1:0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 1:1 Dortmund

FC Koln 4:1 Hamburger SV

Heidenheim 0:1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 0:1 Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 4:0 Mainz

Union Berlin 0:0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 2:1 Heidenheim

Bayern Munich 5:0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV (Ger) 1:3 Hannover (Ger)

Hamburger SV 0:2 St. Pauli

B. Monchengladbach 0:0 Hamburger SV

Overview

St. Pauli Hamburger SV Prediction

St. Pauli v Hamburger SV Prediction & Tips (and online live stream*) starts on Friday 23 January in the Germany - Bundesliga. Here on Feedinco, we will cover all types of match predictions, stats and all match previews for all Germany - Bundesliga matches. You can find all statistics, last 5 games stats and Comparison for both teams St. Pauli and Hamburger SV .

Feedinco Suggestion

From all statistics and latest matches and timeline data, our professional advice and experts suggest to bet on a Under 3.5 Goals which have odds of 1.21. We also suggest the best bookmaker which is 1xBet which have better odds on this type of bet.

There is 49% for the game to end in a Draw between St. Pauli and Hamburger SV

There is a 82% chance of this match having U3.5 goals

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