Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips (24 January)

Villarreal approach this clash with a mixture of optimism and caution, having experienced an uneven run of form over the past two months. Their recent league outings included a strong 3‑1 win over Deportivo Alavés and an impressive 3‑1 victory away at Elche, but those highs were offset by setbacks such as a 0‑2 home defeat to Barcelona and a 2‑1 loss to Racing Santander. Off the pitch, the club has been dealing with injury concerns, including issues for players like Cabanes and Kambwala, which have influenced squad rotation. Despite these challenges, Villarreal continue to rely heavily on the creativity of Alberto Moleiro and the finishing instincts of Gerard Moreno, both of whom remain central to their attacking identity.

Real Madrid, meanwhile, enter the fixture with a more consistent trajectory, having produced several notable results in recent weeks. Their last batch of matches featured a 3‑2 defeat to Barcelona, a narrow but important 2‑1 win over Atlético Madrid, and a commanding 5‑1 victory over Real Betis. They also secured a solid 2‑0 win against Sevilla, reinforcing their ability to control matches even when not at their most fluid. The past two months have also brought attention to the form of Kylian Mbappé, who has been prolific in front of goal, and the continued influence of Jude Bellingham in midfield. Although the squad has dealt with injuries to players like Rüdiger, Militao, and Mendy, their depth has allowed them to maintain momentum.

The historical dynamic between these two sides adds another layer of intrigue. Real Madrid have had the upper hand in recent meetings, including a 3‑1 win in October 2025 and a 2‑0 victory earlier that same year. Villarreal, however, have shown they can trouble Madrid when given space to transition quickly, and their home ground has often provided an atmosphere that pushes them to compete with greater intensity. With both teams navigating busy schedules and dealing with squad availability issues, the tactical battle is likely to hinge on midfield control and the ability to exploit defensive gaps. Villarreal’s challenge will be containing Madrid’s pace and movement, particularly in wide areas.

Taking all recent performances, injuries, and momentum into account, the matchup appears to tilt in Real Madrid’s favor, especially given their attacking efficiency and ability to respond well after setbacks. Villarreal will undoubtedly attempt to impose themselves early, but sustaining pressure against a side with Madrid’s depth and firepower remains a demanding task. Considering the patterns of both teams over the past two months and the outcomes of their latest matches, the most reasonable expectation points toward a decisive away win. The predicted correct score, mentioned only here as requested, is 1‑3.