Quilmes vs Club A. Guemes Prediction & Betting Tips (23 September)

Quilmes and Club Atlético Güemes are set to clash in a pivotal Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Centenario, with both sides hovering in the lower half of Group A and desperate to claw their way into playoff contention. Quilmes, currently 12th, have shown flashes of resilience despite a turbulent season marked by inconsistency and managerial upheaval. The recent appointment of Alfredo Grelak has injected a dose of tactical discipline, and his side responded with a gritty 2-0 win over San Miguel and a hard-fought draw against Ferro. With attacking threats like Juan Capano and Oscar Belinetz finding rhythm, Quilmes will look to capitalize on home advantage and push for a narrow but decisive victory.

Club A. Güemes, meanwhile, sit just below Quilmes in 15th, and their campaign has been defined by stubborn draws and missed opportunities. Under Marcelo Vázquez, the Santiago del Estero outfit has leaned heavily on defensive structure, but lapses in concentration have cost them dearly in recent outings. Their 1-0 win over Colegiales offered a brief reprieve, yet losses to Atlanta and Arsenal Sarandí exposed vulnerabilities in transition. Midfielder Facundo Torres remains a key figure in orchestrating play, while Rodrigo Ríos has quietly emerged as a reliable presence in front of goal. Güemes will need both to be at their sharpest to challenge Quilmes on the road.

In terms of squad news, Quilmes will be without forward Juan Kaprof due to a muscle tear, while defender Torrent Guidi and midfielder Iván Ramírez are also sidelined. These absences could force Grelak to lean on veteran Gabriel Carabajal and the versatile Leonel Vangioni to stabilize the midfield and provide creative spark. Güemes, on the other hand, have a relatively healthy squad, though fatigue may be a factor given their congested fixture list. The tactical chess match between Grelak’s pressing system and Vázquez’s compact shape will likely determine the flow of the game.

Expect a cagey affair with moments of individual brilliance breaking the deadlock. Quilmes, buoyed by home support and a slight edge in attacking depth, are tipped to edge Güemes 2-1. The scoreline reflects the fine margins that have defined both teams’ seasons—Quilmes’ ability to convert chances and Güemes’ tendency to concede late could be the difference. With playoff hopes flickering, this match carries weight beyond the scoreboard, and both sides will be acutely aware that a win here could reignite their campaign.