Ceuta vs Real Sociedad B Prediction & Betting Tips (26 September)

AD Ceuta FC host Real Sociedad B at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube on Saturday, 26 September 2026, in a LaLiga2 (Segunda División) fixture that pits two sides in very different moods against each other. Ceuta are rooted in 22nd place after a miserable start to the 2026/27 campaign, still searching for their first league win of the season despite a spirited 1-1 home draw against Real Valladolid last weekend, where Carlos Hernández rescued a point deep in stoppage time. Real Sociedad B, meanwhile, sit 14th with five points and arrive unbeaten in their last three league outings, having already shown their attacking quality away from home this term.

Ceuta's 2026/27 squad has struggled to turn possession into points, with head coach relying on a 4-3-3 built around goalkeeper Pedro López, defenders Carlos Redruello, Carlos Hernández, Yann Bodiger and José Matos, a midfield of Kuki Zalazar, Chidiebere Okoro and Mawuli Mensah, and an attack led by Edgar Sevikyan, Omar Sadik and Álex Camacho. Albert Caparrós remains suspended, depriving the hosts of a useful midfield option. The home faithful will hope the Alfonso Murube can spark a turnaround after recent disappointments, including the 0-3 home defeat to Valladolid in January and last month's 3-1 loss away to Burgos, results that underlined how costly defensive lapses have been for Ceuta.

Real Sociedad B travel to the North African coast with a young but confident 2026/27 squad featuring Aitor Fraga in goal, a back line of Iñaki Rupérez, Iker Ropero, Kazunari Kita and Unax Agote, a midfield trio of Gorka Gorosabel, Tomy Carbonell and Alex Lebarbier, and a dangerous front three of Dani Díaz, Gorka Carrera and Lander Astiazarán. The reserves were impressive in their recent 1-3 victory away to FC Andorra, where Dani Díaz, Lander Astiazarán and Iñaki Rupérez all found the net, and they also battled to a hard-earned 2-2 draw at Burgos earlier in the campaign, showing they can compete with the division's more experienced sides.

In terms of European odds, the bookmakers have this game priced very tightly, with Ceuta slight home favourites at around 2.25, the draw at 3.30 and an away win for Real Sociedad B at 3.10 — a reflection of both Ceuta's desperate need for points at home and the visitors' superior early-season form. Despite those numbers, we believe Ceuta's urgency and the passionate support of the Alfonso Murube will finally tip the balance in their favour. Our prediction is a 2:1 home win for AD Ceuta FC, with the hosts edging a competitive contest in which both teams sc