Racing Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips (29 September)

Racing Club de Montevideo and CA Progreso are set to clash on September 29, 2025, at the Estadio Osvaldo Roberto in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture in the Uruguayan Primera División. Racing, currently showing a balanced form with three wins, three losses, and four draws in their last ten outings, will look to capitalize on home advantage. Their average of 1.9 goals scored per home match suggests a potent attack, especially when led by forwards like Alan Scarone and Agustín Severo, who have been instrumental in recent games. Coach Eduardo Espinel has emphasized compact midfield transitions, with Federico Cairus and Joaquín Bosca providing the creative spark.

Progreso, meanwhile, arrives with a slightly less consistent record—three wins, six losses, and one draw in their last ten matches. Their defensive frailties have been exposed, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. However, the attacking duo of Facundo Sosa and Rodrigo Hernández remains a threat, particularly on counterattacks. Coach Leonel Rocco has been experimenting with a more aggressive 4-3-3 formation, hoping to reverse their fortunes. The midfield, anchored by Agustín Pinheiro and Matías De los Santos, will be crucial in disrupting Racing’s rhythm and launching quick transitions.

Recent match data suggests a low-scoring affair, with both teams averaging under 2.5 goals per game. However, Racing’s home form and Progreso’s vulnerability on the road tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts. Racing’s defensive line, marshaled by Facundo Álvarez and Diego Cheuquepal, has shown resilience, particularly in matches where they’ve taken early control. Expect Racing to press high and exploit set-piece opportunities, an area where Progreso has struggled to maintain discipline.

Given the tactical setups and current form, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Racing Montevideo feels like a calculated prediction. Racing’s ability to dominate possession and create chances through midfield overloads should see them edge ahead, while Progreso’s spirited attack might snatch a consolation goal late in the second half. With both teams eager to climb the table, this fixture could be a turning point—especially for Racing, who seem poised to convert their momentum into a vital home win.