Casa Pia vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips (3 October)

Casa Pia and Estoril Praia are set to clash at the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior on October 3rd in a Liga Portugal Betclic fixture that promises tension and tactical intrigue. Casa Pia, currently languishing in 16th place, are desperate to reverse a troubling trend of inconsistency. Their recent 1-1 draw against Famalicão, salvaged by a late Jérémy Livolant penalty, extended their modest unbeaten run to two matches. Head coach Filipe Martins has leaned heavily on Livolant and Patrick Sequeira between the posts, hoping to stabilize a side that has struggled to convert possession into goals. With just seven points from six matches, the Geese need a spark to reignite their campaign.

Estoril, meanwhile, arrive in Rio Maior perched in 8th place, but their form has been equally erratic. The Canarinhos have only one win in their last seven outings, and their recent 2-0 defeat to Braga exposed defensive frailties that have plagued Ian Cathro’s squad. Rafik Guitane and João Carvalho remain their most potent attacking threats, yet Estoril’s backline—led by Ricard Sánchez—has conceded 48 goals this season, the joint-most among teams outside the relegation zone. Cathro’s challenge will be to shore up the defense while maintaining the fluidity that once saw Estoril go unbeaten in eight matches earlier this year.



Historically, Estoril have enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, especially away from home, but Casa Pia’s 2-0 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season broke a 23-year drought and injected belief into their ranks. That victory was emblematic of Casa Pia’s potential when their midfield clicks and their pressing game suffocates opponents. With the home crowd behind them and Estoril’s recent scoring drought casting shadows, Casa Pia will look to replicate that performance and exploit the Canarinhos’ defensive lapses.

Expect a tightly contested affair with moments of brilliance from both sides, but Casa Pia’s urgency and home advantage could tilt the balance. A 2-1 scoreline in favor of the hosts feels plausible, especially if Livolant continues his scoring form and Sequeira holds firm under pressure. Estoril may find the net through a moment of individual quality—perhaps from Guitane—but unless their defensive structure improves dramatically, Casa Pia are poised to edge this encounter and climb out of the danger zone.

• Summary: Casa Pia is going head to head with Estoril Praia starting on 3 Oct 2025 at 19:15 UTC at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior stadium, Rio Maior city, Portugal. The match is a part of the Liga Portugal Betclic .
• Casa Pia Feedinco Rating: 6.72
• Estoril Feedinco Rating: 6.69