Atalanta vs Como Prediction & Betting Tips (4 October)

Atalanta’s visit to Como this weekend carries the weight of redemption. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side, once riding high on an 11-match winning streak, has stumbled in recent weeks, slipping to third in the Serie A standings after four winless outings. Their midweek Champions League demolition of Sturm Graz offered a much-needed morale boost, with Ademola Lookman and Mateo Retegui both finding the net in a 5-0 rout. Retegui, in particular, has been a revelation since joining, scoring four goals in his first four league appearances. Despite a missed penalty against Arsenal, his form remains electric, and he’ll be central to Atalanta’s hopes of reigniting their domestic campaign.

Como, under the guidance of Cesc Fàbregas, have quietly built momentum after a rocky start to life in the top flight. Their 4-1 win over Udinese, capped by Nico Paz’s late strike, showcased a team growing in confidence and cohesion. Assane Diao, a recent acquisition, has added flair and bite to the attack, scoring in consecutive matches. Historically, Como have enjoyed home dominance over Atalanta, losing just once in nine Serie A meetings at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Their shock 3-2 win in Bergamo earlier this season remains a highlight, and they’ll be eager to complete a rare double over their Lombardy rivals.

Injury concerns linger for both squads. Atalanta are without Rafael Tolói, Gianluca Scamacca, Giorgio Scalvini, and Raphaël Varane, all sidelined with various ailments. Como, meanwhile, miss Ben Godfrey and Federico Barba, both nursing back injuries. These absences could tilt the tactical balance, with Gasperini likely to lean on Charles De Ketelaere and Marten De Roon to stabilize midfield transitions. Fàbregas, ever the strategist, may opt for a compact 4-2-3-1 setup, banking on Cutrone’s finishing and Paz’s creativity to breach Atalanta’s backline.

Expect a tightly contested affair, with Atalanta’s attacking firepower narrowly edging out Como’s resilience. The visitors’ hunger to break their domestic drought, coupled with Lookman’s pace and Retegui’s finishing, should prove decisive. Como will not go quietly, especially with their home record and recent form, but the prediction leans toward a 2-1 victory for Atalanta—a scoreline that reflects both teams’ current trajectories and the fine margins that define Serie A’s mid-season drama.