Ath Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips (4 October)

Athletic Bilbao welcome Mallorca to San Mamés on October 4th in a clash that could shape the European ambitions of both sides. Ernesto Valverde’s men are licking their wounds after a rough September, having lost three of their last four LaLiga matches and suffering a 2-1 defeat to Roma in the Europa League. Despite the recent dip, the Lions remain fourth in the table and boast one of the league’s strongest home records, with 28 points from 13 games. Valverde will be counting on the Williams brothers to reignite the attack, especially Nico, whose pace and creativity have been sorely missed in recent outings.

Mallorca, under Jagoba Arrasate, arrive in Bilbao with quiet confidence. The islanders are unbeaten in their last four league matches, including a gritty 1-1 draw against Alaves. While goals have been hard to come by—just 25 scored this season—their defensive discipline has kept them in the hunt for a European spot. Captain Antonio Raíllo anchors a backline that has conceded only 32 goals, a tally comparable to Spain’s elite. With Real Betis just two points ahead, Mallorca know a result in Bilbao could be a statement of intent.

Tactically, this promises to be a chess match. Athletic will likely dominate possession, probing through Oihan Sancet and Iñaki Williams, while Mallorca sit deep and look to counter through Dani Rodríguez and Vedat Muriqi. The key battle may unfold in midfield, where Mikel Vesga’s control will be tested against the industrious Samu Costa. Valverde’s side must avoid the complacency that cost them against Villarreal and Valencia, while Arrasate will hope his side can replicate the resilience they showed against Atlético Madrid earlier this season.

Prediction-wise, the edge tilts toward the hosts. Athletic’s home form and attacking depth should be enough to overcome Mallorca’s stubborn resistance, though not without a fight. Expect a tight affair, with Bilbao breaking through twice and Mallorca snatching a goal—perhaps from a set piece or late surge. A 2-1 scoreline feels just right: a win for the Lions, but one that reflects Mallorca’s growing stature and grit.