Napoli vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips (5 October)

Napoli welcome Genoa to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona this Sunday with the scent of the Scudetto thick in the air. Antonio Conte’s men sit atop Serie A with 77 points, three clear of Inter Milan, and have strung together four consecutive wins without conceding. Their latest triumph, a gritty 1-0 away win over Lecce courtesy of Giacomo Raspadori’s first-half free kick, showcased the defensive steel that has defined their campaign. With just three matches remaining, Napoli are masters of their own fate, boasting the fewest goals conceded (25) and the most clean sheets (17) across Europe’s top five leagues.

Genoa, meanwhile, arrive in Naples nursing wounds from a 2-1 defeat to Milan and languishing in 13th place with 39 points. Patrick Vieira’s side have struggled for consistency, especially on the road, where they’ve failed to win in their last nine outings. Defensive frailties have resurfaced, with Genoa conceding in each of their last three matches and losing all of them. The team’s lone bright spot has been Albert Guðmundsson, whose creativity remains vital, but the lack of support around him has stifled Genoa’s attacking rhythm.

Conte’s tactical discipline has transformed Napoli into a fortress, particularly at home, where they’ve gone nine games unbeaten and scored in each of those fixtures. Despite injuries and the departure of key players last summer, the Partenopei have adapted with resilience. Raspadori’s emergence as a reliable goal threat and the midfield control of Stanislav Lobotka have been instrumental. Genoa’s record against Napoli is bleak: just one win in their last 11 visits to Naples, and Conte himself has never lost to Vieira in their managerial duels.

Expect Napoli to dominate possession and probe Genoa’s backline with patience and precision. While Genoa may find a moment of inspiration—perhaps through a set piece or a counterattack—their defensive lapses are likely to be punished. With history, form, and momentum on their side, Napoli should edge this contest 2-1, keeping their title charge alive while Genoa continue their slide toward a nervy season finish.