Greece vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips (4 October)

Greece vs Germany takes place at Toumba Stadium on 4 October 2026 in a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 Group A2 return match with first-place implications. Greece produced the shock of the international window by earning a 0-1 victory in Augsburg, where Dimitrios Kourbelis’ deflected 74th-minute goal defeated a Germany side that dominated possession but lacked a clinical finish. That success followed Greece’s 2-1 comeback victory over Serbia and left Ivan Jovanovic’s team on six points. Germany, held to a 1-1 draw by the Netherlands, have one point and are under pressure to respond.

Greece’s 2026/27 squad for the September and October fixtures comprises goalkeepers Odysseas Vlachodimos, Konstantinos Tzolakis and Christos Mandas; defenders Georgios Vagiannidis, Andreas Ntoi, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Panagiotis Retsos, Manolis Saliakas, Giannis Michailidis, Kostas Tsimikas, Giorgos Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos Koulierakis and Triantafyllos Tsapras; midfielders Dimitrios Kourbelis, Thanasis Androutsos, Konstantinos Karetsas, Christos Zafeiris, Christos Mouzakitis and Nectarios Triantis; and forwards Georgios Masouras, Fotis Ioannidis, Anastasios Douvikas, Christos Tzolis, Charalampos Kostoulas, Vangelis Pavlidis, Andrews Tetteh and Alexandros Kyziridis. Tzolakis, Mavropanos, Retsos and Tsimikas provide the defensive foundation, while Pavlidis, Tzolis, Douvikas and teenage playmaker Karetsas offer the greatest attacking threat. Giannis Konstantelias remains unavailable because of an anterior cruciate ligament injury.

Germany’s revised October squad features goalkeepers Noah Atubolu, Finn Dahmen and Jonas Urbig; defenders Waldemar Anton, Ridle Baku, Finn Jeltsch, Maximilian Mittelstadt, David Raum, Nico Schlotterbeck, Malick Thiaw and Philipp Treu; midfielders Mika Baur, Tom Bischof, Bambasé Conté, Said El Mala, Yannick Engelhardt, Serge Gnabry, Vitaly Janelt, Lennart Karl, Felix Keidel, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Derry Scherhant and Florian Wirtz; and forwards Jonathan Burkardt and Nick Woltemade. Jamal Musiala and Kai Havertz are unavailable through injury, but Wirtz’s creativity, Gnabry’s experience and the varied finishing of Burkardt and Woltemade give Jürgen Klopp strong alternatives. Germany’s recent results, including the summer World Cup defeat by Ecuador in a 2-1 match, underline their defensive vulnerability, although their squad depth remains considerably greater than Greece’s.

As of 30 September 2026, the best available European decimal odds price Greece at 3.55, the draw at 4.38 and Germany at 2.05, while a 1-3 correct score is available at approximately 16.50. Odds may change after both teams complete their 1 October fixtures, with Greece facing the Netherlands and Germany meeting Serbia. Greece have demonstrated excellent defensive discipline, goalkeeping quality and counterattacking efficiency, but repeating their Augsburg performance will be difficult if Germany convert their territorial pressure into an early goal. Germany’s need for points, superior attacking depth and greater bench impact make an away victory the preferred outcome. Our prediction is Greece 1 : 3 Germ