Toulouse vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips (19 October)

9th in Ligue 1 with 10 points, Toulouse saw a 5th match in a row without a win looming in Lyon before turning the game around to its advantage 1-2. A valuable success coming in the wake of defeats against PSG 3-6, Lille 2-1 and Auxerre 1-0 and sharing points with Nantes 2-2. It is therefore with a feeling of accomplished duty that the Violets approached the two weeks of break. Always deprived of victory and too permeable in defense, as evidenced by its 16 goals conceded in 7 matches, FC Metz is dead last in the ranking.

The promoted side avoided defeat twice, returning from the September break against Angers 0-0 and during the following reception against Le Havre 0-0. In the meantime, he took the water in Monaco 5-2 and remains with a significant setback against Olympique de Marseille 0-3. With 2 points, the Grenats are 4 points behind the first non-relegation club. 

Historically, Toulouse have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, including a commanding 3-0 win last season. Metz’s last victory over Toulouse dates back several seasons, and their current form doesn’t inspire confidence. However, both teams have shown a tendency to score, with Toulouse netting in five of their last six matches and Metz managing goals in four of their last five away games. This suggests a competitive match is likely, with both sides capable of finding the net. Tactical discipline will be key, especially in midfield transitions where Toulouse have looked vulnerable and Metz have occasionally capitalized.

Given the current trajectory and home advantage, Toulouse are expected to edge this encounter. While Metz may find a way through the defense once, Toulouse’s attacking trio—Dallinga, Magri, and Sierro—should be able to carve out enough chances to secure the win. The match promises intensity and moments of brilliance, but also the kind of defensive errors that make Ligue 1 unpredictable. Our prediction, based on form, squad depth, and tactical setups, is a 2-1 victory for Toulouse. It’s a scoreline that reflects both teams’ current realities: Toulouse’s slight superiority and Metz’s persistent fight to stay afloat.