Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips (20 October)

Deportivo Alaves return to Estadio Mendizorroza with a sense of quiet confidence after a gritty start to the season. Sitting mid-table with 11 points from eight matches, they’ve shown resilience, especially at home. Their recent 1-0 win over Valencia back in May is still fresh in memory, and the squad has retained much of its core. Forward Carlos Vicente has been a standout, netting three goals so far, while Toni Martínez has chipped in with two goals and an assist. Coach Luis García Plaza has emphasized compact defending and quick transitions, which have frustrated more possession-heavy sides. With four national team players and a relatively experienced squad, Alaves are proving they can punch above their weight.

Valencia, meanwhile, are navigating a turbulent campaign with just eight points from eight games. Manager Rubén Baraja is under pressure to find consistency, especially after a string of disappointing results. The team’s attacking trio—Arnaut Danjuma, Hugo Duro, and Diego López—have each scored three, three, and two goals respectively, but defensive lapses have cost them dearly. Their last five meetings with Alaves have yielded only one draw and four losses, including a 2-1 defeat in February 2023. Despite having a higher market value and a younger average age, Valencia’s squad cohesion seems lacking. Injuries and tactical indecision have left fans questioning whether the club can rediscover its rhythm before the winter break.



Both teams have had contrasting fortunes in recent weeks. Alaves are unbeaten in their last three home matches, while Valencia have struggled on the road, failing to win any of their last four away fixtures. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Carles Aleñá orchestrating play for Alaves and Javi Guerra trying to impose control for Valencia. Set pieces could be a decisive factor, as both sides have shown vulnerability in defending corners. The fixture promises intensity, with both managers likely to opt for cautious starts before unleashing their attacking options in the second half. The crowd at Mendizorroza will be a factor too, with Alaves enjoying strong home support.

Taking all factors into account—form, head-to-head record, and tactical setups—the prediction leans toward a narrow win for the home side. Alaves have shown they can edge tight contests, especially against Valencia, whose defensive frailties remain unresolved. Expect a cagey first half followed by a more open second period. With Vicente and Martínez likely to be involved in key moments, and Valencia’s Danjuma always a threat on the counter, goals are expected. Our correct score prediction for this LaLiga clash is a 2-1 victory for Alaves, continuing their recent dominance over the visitors and solidifying their mid-table ambitions.

• Summary: Deportivo Alavés is going head to head with Valencia starting on 20 Oct 2025 at 19:00 UTC at Estadio de Mendizorroza stadium, Vitoria-Gasteiz city, Spain. The match is a part of the LaLiga .
• Alaves Feedinco Rating: 6.74
• Valencia Feedinco Rating: 6.72