Osasuna vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips (26 October)

Osasuna enters this fixture with a mixed bag of performances in recent weeks. Their narrow 1-0 defeat to Atlético Madrid highlighted both their defensive resilience and attacking shortcomings. Coach Jagoba Arrasate has been experimenting with midfield combinations, trying to find the right balance between creativity and control. The return of Lucas Torró from injury has added steel to the center, while Ante Budimir continues to be their most reliable goal threat. At home, Osasuna have shown flashes of dominance, especially in their win over Getafe, where their pressing game suffocated the opposition. However, inconsistency remains their Achilles heel, particularly when facing teams that sit deep and counter.

Celta Vigo, meanwhile, are in a more precarious position, hovering near the relegation zone with only six points from nine matches. Their recent draw against Almería offered a glimpse of resilience, but the lack of goals continues to haunt coach Rafael Benítez’s side. The team has struggled to convert possession into meaningful chances, and the absence of key striker Iago Aspas due to a minor knock has further complicated matters. Youngster Jørgen Strand Larsen has shown promise but lacks the experience to lead the line effectively. Defensively, Celta have been porous, conceding in nearly every match, which has forced Benítez to rotate his backline frequently in search of stability.

Historically, matches between these two sides have been tightly contested, with Osasuna often edging out Celta at home. The head-to-head record leans slightly in favor of the hosts, especially in recent seasons. Tactical setups will be crucial in this encounter—Osasuna’s high press versus Celta’s cautious buildup. Set pieces could play a decisive role, given both teams’ vulnerability in defending corners and free kicks. The midfield battle between Torró and Beltrán may dictate the tempo, while wide players like Rubén García and Jonathan Bamba could be game-changers if given space. Expect a physical contest with moments of flair, especially in transition.

After analyzing recent form, injuries, and tactical trends, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Osasuna seems the most plausible outcome. Their home advantage, coupled with Celta’s defensive frailties and lack of firepower, tips the balance toward the Pamplona side. Budimir is likely to find the net, perhaps from a set piece, while Celta may respond through Larsen or a late surge. However, Osasuna’s ability to control the midfield and exploit defensive lapses should see them clinch all three points. It won’t be a walk in the park, but the Rojillos have just enough edge to make it count.