Empoli vs Sampdoria Prediction & Betting Tips (28 October)

Empoli welcomes Sampdoria to the Stadio Carlo Castellani on October 28th for a compelling Serie B clash that promises intensity and tactical intrigue. Empoli, under the guidance of Guido Pagliuca, has shown flashes of attacking prowess in recent fixtures, notably their 3-1 win over Padova and a hard-fought draw against Reggiana. Pagliuca, with a modest 8% win rate at Empoli, is still shaping his squad’s identity after their relegation from Serie A. The team’s home form remains a key asset, with Empoli scoring at least twice in 80% of their last ten home matches. Their midfield, led by Filippo Ranocchia and the emerging talent Tommaso Baldanzi, has been instrumental in dictating tempo and creating chances.

Sampdoria, managed by Massimo Donati, enters this fixture with a more turbulent trajectory. Donati has yet to register a win in his current tenure, and the team’s away form has been inconsistent, suffering losses to Südtirol and Modena. Despite this, Sampdoria’s squad boasts experience, with players like Valerio Verre and Manuel De Luca capable of turning the tide in tight matches. Their recent 1-1 draw against Spezia and a goalless stalemate with Juve Stabia suggest defensive solidity but a lack of cutting edge in the final third. Donati’s challenge lies in converting possession into goals, especially against a side like Empoli that thrives on home momentum.

Historically, encounters between these two sides have been evenly matched. In their last six meetings across Serie A and Serie B, Empoli has claimed two wins, Sampdoria three, and one ended in a draw. The most recent clash in May 2023 saw a 1-1 draw, highlighting the competitive balance. Empoli’s recent transition to Serie B has injected urgency into their performances, while Sampdoria continues to recalibrate after a difficult spell. Both teams are in the early stages of the season, with neither having fully settled into rhythm, making this fixture a potential turning point. The tactical battle between Pagliuca and Donati adds another layer of intrigue, especially given their contrasting managerial records.

Considering current form, squad dynamics, and historical context, a narrow victory for Empoli seems plausible. Their ability to score consistently at home, combined with Sampdoria’s struggles on the road, tips the balance slightly in favor of the hosts. Expect a match where both teams find the net, but Empoli edges ahead with superior attacking execution. The prediction stands at a 2-1 win for Empoli—a scoreline that reflects their recent scoring trends and Sampdoria’s defensive vulnerabilities. It’s a result that could mark a pivotal moment in Empoli’s campaign and heap pressure on Donati’s tenure at Sampdoria.