St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips (23 November)

For the locals, offensive summer recruit Jones, midfielder Dzwigala (1 goal) and defender Nemeth will all once again have to forfeit this Sunday. Absent before the international break, the right piston Saliakas is uncertain. The offensive sector of this formation is far from being the most efficient in the Bundesliga. Playmaker Sinani (2 goals), former Caen and Rodez striker Andreas Hountondji (3 goals) and the Franco-Portuguese Pereira-Lage (ex-Lens and Angers) have all clearly declined after starting this new exercise quite strongly. On the Berlin side, the young defender Markgraf and the Dane Robert Skov should certainly stay at home this Sunday, both injured.

On the other hand, the Union records the return of defender Trimmel who was suspended against Bayern for an accumulation of yellow cards. Against the Bavarians, it was defender Doekhi who was the hero of the game with 2 goals scored. It's a little harder at the moment for the Scotsman Burke (3 goals) and the rather formidable striker Ansah (4 goals) who haven't scored for weeks. At the forefront, the Serbian Ilic (3 assists) has still not scored a single goal in the Bundesliga this season. The probable line-ups for Sankt Pauli - Union Berlin:

Recent head-to-head history between these two sides adds another layer of intrigue. St. Pauli stunned Union Berlin back in January 2025 with a 3-0 victory, a result that highlighted their potential when everything clicks. Yet Union Berlin had previously beaten St. Pauli 1-0 in August 2024, demonstrating that these encounters are often tight and unpredictable. St. Pauli’s home advantage at the Millerntor-Stadion could play a role, as their fans are known for creating an intense atmosphere that can unsettle visiting teams. Still, Union Berlin’s experience in navigating such environments may prove decisive. Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense, but Union’s ability to capitalize on mistakes could tilt the balance in their favor. The tactical battle between Hürzeler and Nenad Bjelica will be crucial, with both managers under pressure to deliver results.

Taking all factors into account, including recent form, squad depth, and head-to-head records, the prediction leans toward a narrow but decisive outcome. St. Pauli’s struggles in defense and lack of attacking sharpness suggest they may find it difficult to break down Union Berlin’s organized structure. Union, on the other hand, have the tools to exploit St. Pauli’s weaknesses, particularly through set pieces and counterattacks. While the match is expected to be competitive, the forecast points toward Union Berlin securing a clean sheet and taking advantage of their chances. The predicted correct score for this Bundesliga fixture is 2:0 in favor of Union Berlin, a result that would underline their superiority and deepen St. Pauli’s relegation concerns.