Bologna vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips (4 December)

Bologna and Parma are set to meet in the Coppa Italia Round of 16 on December 4, 2025, at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. This fixture has generated considerable anticipation, not only because of the historical rivalry between the two Emilia-Romagna clubs but also due to their recent form in both Serie A and cup competitions. Bologna have been in the spotlight after their impressive 2-0 victory over Napoli earlier in November, a result that showcased their ability to challenge top-tier opponents. They also drew 2-2 with Fiorentina in late October, a match that highlighted both their attacking flair and defensive vulnerabilities. Parma, meanwhile, have been making headlines with a 2-2 draw against AC Milan earlier in November, proving they can hold their own against elite opposition. This clash promises to be a battle of resilience and tactical discipline, with both sides eager to progress deeper into the tournament.

Looking at Bologna’s recent performances, their consistency has been noteworthy. They defeated Udinese 3-0 away from home, followed by a commanding 4-1 win against Salzburg in European competition, which underlined their growing confidence. However, their inability to secure maximum points against Fiorentina in Serie A showed that defensive lapses remain a concern. Injuries have also played a role, with key players like Skorupski and Freuler facing fitness doubts in late November, potentially affecting their squad depth. Despite these challenges, Bologna’s attacking trio has been effective, with their midfield providing balance and creativity. The team’s ability to adapt tactically has been one of their strengths, and manager Thiago Motta has been praised for instilling a disciplined yet flexible approach. Their fans will expect nothing less than a strong showing against Parma, especially given the home advantage at Dall’Ara.

Parma’s journey to this stage of the Coppa Italia has been dramatic. They advanced from the Round of 32 after a tense penalty shootout win over Spezia in late September, demonstrating their grit under pressure. In Serie A, Parma have had mixed results: a 1-2 victory over Hellas Verona showed their attacking potential, while a 2-1 loss to Roma at the end of October exposed defensive frailties. Their 0-0 draw against Como highlighted their struggle to break down compact defenses, an issue that could resurface against Bologna’s organized backline. Injuries have also impacted Parma, with players like Circati and N’Diaye sidelined in November, limiting their options. Nevertheless, their ability to frustrate bigger teams, as seen in the draw against Milan, suggests they are capable of making this tie competitive. Parma’s supporters will hope their side can replicate that resilience and perhaps spring a surprise against Bologna.

As the match approaches, the tactical battle is expected to be tight, with Bologna likely to dominate possession while Parma look to exploit counterattacks. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance in recent weeks, but Bologna’s superior form and home advantage tilt the balance in their favor. Given their defensive solidity in recent matches and Parma’s occasional struggles in front of goal, the most realistic outcome appears to be a narrow Bologna victory. The prediction here is a 1-0 scoreline, with Bologna edging past Parma to secure their place in the next round of the Coppa Italia. This result would reflect Bologna’s ability to grind out wins in crucial fixtures while acknowledging Parma’s resilience in keeping the contest close.