The Manchester Derby 2026: Expert Predictions, Best Bets & Key Analysis

The Manchester derby is certainly one of the fiercest contests in England; a clash that splits the city into red and blue and never fails to deliver drama. On Saturday, 17th January at Old Trafford, the rivalry is renewed once again, with the visitors heading in as favourites.

Betting markets have started to reflect that momentum shift, with odds tilting slightly in City’s favour. When it comes to tracking such fluctuations and consistently competitive Premier League odds, we’ve found 1Win bet to be one of the most reliable options for football bettors.

Historical Showdowns: Derby Moments that Defined Eras

Historically, Manchester United have dominated this fixture as well as the accolades between these two teams. Having won 20 domestic league titles, three Champions League titles and a whole host of trophies in-between – there is still an argument to be made that the city is red.

The ‘noisy neighbours’ – as Sir Alex Ferguson referred to them – will argue that they have dominated English football for significant periods in recent years. Ushering in a golden era in their club's history, they have matched their rivals’ treble-winning season and have swiftly become a powerhouse at the top.

There have been so many memorable moments shared between these two. From stoppage time winners to cup finals – they have seen it all. Most recently, encounters have delivered high drama, and United will welcome a repeat of any upset here.

Seasonal Dynamics: Current Form and Objectives

Manchester City

City have rebuilt strongly this season after a challenging period previously. Domestically, they have shown renewed consistency, pushing hard in the title race, and Pep Guardiola's side looks invigorated with key performers stepping up.

Erling Haaland has been in sensational form, continuing his prolific scoring record and driving the attack. This is a side full of talent and quality, making them a formidable force not to be underestimated.

Guardiola will target silverware across competitions, with the Premier League title very much in sight.

Manchester United

United have faced turbulence this season, with the recent departure of manager Ruben Amorim after a challenging period. The club is now in transition as they seek stability under interim leadership or a new appointment, amid scrutiny and mixed results.

You get the feeling that competing in domestic cups and pushing for European qualification remains the focus – but there is no question that they will be up for this one, especially at home.

Tactical Anticipation: Strategies and Formations

From a Manchester City perspective, their attacking shape and formation isn’t likely to change significantly. They boast depth in attack with Haaland as the focal point, supported by creative talents, and United will have to contend with threats on all fronts.

Manchester United will know they aren’t likely to boss possession here, but they could look to be patient in their shape, aiming to exploit transitions with pace when opportunities arise.

Defensively, set pieces could be key for both sides, and if City leave space, United will look to capitalize quickly.

Anticipating a Thrilling Derby

City will no doubt come into this game as heavy favourites – and arguably, rightly so given their strong form. Pep Guardiola’s men are pushing for the title, but derbies can produce surprises.

For United, they won’t expect to see too much of the ball – but when they do have possession, they will want to make the most of it. The hosts often rise to the occasion in big games at Old Trafford, so don’t be surprised to see an elevated performance here.

Insofar as an expert prediction is concerned, we back both teams to score here and that might have to be our betting angle. They both have incredible weapons in the final third and defences that can be breached on the day.

Suggested Bets

Looking to make money on the Manchester Derby? Make sure to check out our suggested bets that offer decent odds.

• Anytime Goalscorer – Erling Haaland: The Norwegian hitman is a goalscoring machine, continuing his prolific form in the Premier League. Back Haaland to score anytime in the match and get strong odds with 1Win.
• Both Teams to Score – Yes: Given that both teams have attacking quality, we could see an open game with both frontlines taking their chances. This bet type offers solid value.
• Over 2.5 Goals: With the attacking talent on display, we’re expecting goals – and at least three scored in the match gives attractive odds with leading bookmakers.

Value Bets

This section is all about providing you with the best value for your multiples. While some of these bet types aren’t easy to predict, they are very rewarding if they come out.

• First Goalscorer – Erling Haaland: We’re quite confident in Haaland adding to his goal tally here, and backing the City striker to score the game’s first goal provides excellent value. Get enhanced odds with 1Win.
• Anytime Goalscorer – Bruno Fernandes: The Portuguese midfield maestro remains a key threat. His goalscoring ability, whether from open play or set piece, makes this bet type a good option. You can get appealing odds at leading sites for Fernandes to score anytime in the match.
• Red Card in the Match: What makes this bet type a strong possibility is the fierce rivalry between these clubs. Past meetings have produced fiery contests that have led to several players being booked, including being sent off the pitch. The odds on offer look very appealing.

Match Prediction: Manchester United to Win

While the Citizens are the bookies’ favourite, we think it’s worth having a punt on the underdogs. United have performed quite well in their recent battles with City and with the game being played at Old Trafford, we’re backing the Red Devils to defy the odds and claim a memorable derby win.