Legia vs AEK Larnaca Prediction & Betting Tips (14 August)

Legia Warsaw enter their Europa League clash against AEK Larnaca with renewed confidence after a gritty run through the qualifiers. Under the guidance of Gonçalo Feio, the Polish side has shown resilience, notably dispatching Aktobe and Baník Ostrava in tightly contested ties. Despite a recent 2-3 friendly loss to Wisła Płock, Legia’s competitive edge remains sharp. The departure of veteran striker Tomáš Pekhart and the return of midfielders like Igor Strzałek from loan spells have reshaped the squad’s dynamics, with Feio leaning on a younger, more energetic core to drive the team forward.

AEK Larnaca, meanwhile, have been quietly building momentum under Spanish coach Imanol Idiakez. Their Europa League campaign has already seen them edge past Partizan Belgrade and NK Celje, with standout performances from Karol Angielski and Waldo Rubio. The Cypriot side’s attacking flair has been complemented by a solid midfield anchored by Gus Ledes and Pere Pons. However, injuries to Enzo Cabrera and Giorgos Naoum may limit their options, especially in high-pressure moments. AEK’s recent 4-1 defeat to Legia in the first leg of this tie casts a shadow, but their ability to bounce back—evident in their penalty shootout win over Partizan—should not be underestimated.

Tactically, Legia are expected to press early, exploiting AEK’s defensive vulnerabilities that surfaced in the first leg. With a midfield trio capable of quick transitions and a backline that’s grown in cohesion, the Polish outfit will likely aim to control possession and force errors. AEK, on the other hand, may adopt a more reactive approach, relying on counterattacks and set pieces to claw their way back. The battle between Angielski and Legia’s center-backs could be pivotal, especially if the Cypriots manage to stretch the game wide and isolate defenders.

Given the form and recent head-to-head, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Legia feels both plausible and poetic. AEK will likely find the net—perhaps through a moment of brilliance from Rubio or a late surge—but Legia’s home advantage and tactical discipline should see them through. Expect a tense, high-tempo affair with moments of individual brilliance, but ultimately, Legia’s edge in experience and squad depth should tip the balance.