Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros Prediction & Betting Tips (8 September)

Tepatitlán de Morelos and Leones Negros are set to clash on September 7, 2025, in a Liga de Expansión MX Apertura fixture that promises intensity and tactical intrigue. Tepatitlán, under the guidance of manager Francisco Ramírez, have carved out a reputation for clinical finishing and disciplined defending. Their recent form is impressive, with a string of victories including a 4–1 away win over Correcaminos and a 3–0 home triumph against Dorados. The squad boasts attacking threats like Luis Loroña and Ronaldo Talavera, who have been instrumental in their 2.2 goals-per-game average this season. With a home record unmarred by defeat and a defense conceding less than a goal per match, Tepatitlán enter this fixture with momentum and confidence.

Leones Negros, led by veteran coach Alfonso Sosa, have had a more turbulent run but remain a dangerous opponent. Their recent wins over Irapuato and Correcaminos showcased their offensive capabilities, with Jesús Ocejo and Edson Rivera leading the charge. However, defensive frailties have plagued them, conceding four goals in three matches and failing to keep a clean sheet. Despite this, their midfield—anchored by Alejandro Organista and Adrián Villalobos—has shown flashes of control and creativity. The team’s away form is inconsistent, but they’ve proven capable of scoring in hostile environments, which makes them a threat even against Tepatitlán’s sturdy backline.

Historically, these two sides have produced tight contests, with Tepatitlán edging the head-to-head in recent meetings. Their last encounter ended in a 2–1 win for Tepatitlán, a scoreline that reflects the fine margins and tactical chess match often seen between these clubs. The Estadio Gregorio “Tepa” Gómez will be buzzing, and the hosts will look to exploit Leones Negros’ defensive lapses while maintaining their own compact shape. Expect Tepatitlán to dominate possession early, forcing Leones Negros to rely on counterattacks and set pieces to stay in the game.

Given current form, squad depth, and tactical setups, a 2–1 victory for Tepatitlán de Morelos appears the most plausible outcome. Their attacking efficiency and home advantage should be enough to overcome a spirited but vulnerable Leones Negros side. While Ocejo may find the net for the visitors, Tepatitlán’s firepower—likely through Loroña or Talavera—should secure the three points. This match could be a defining moment in the Apertura campaign, especially for Tepatitlán, who are quietly building a case as title contenders.