AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips (28 September)

AC Milan welcome Napoli to the San Siro this Sunday in a clash that promises to be a tactical chess match between two of Serie A’s most in-form sides. Massimiliano Allegri’s return to Milan has injected fresh energy into the Rossoneri, who sit third in the table with three wins from four. Christian Pulisic’s recent brace against Udinese highlighted Milan’s attacking depth, while the anticipated debut of Christopher Nkunku adds another layer of unpredictability. However, Rafael Leão remains sidelined, and injuries to Ardon Jashari and Santiago Giménez could test Milan’s midfield resilience.

Napoli, under the stewardship of Antonio Conte, have been clinical and composed, winning all four of their league matches so far. Their recent 3-2 win over Pisa showcased their attacking prowess, though the absence of Romelu Lukaku—who scored the winner in their last meeting with Milan—will be felt. Miguel Gutiérrez is also unavailable, which may force Conte to tweak his defensive setup. Despite these setbacks, Napoli’s away form has been formidable, with eight wins in their last fifteen road games and six clean sheets to show for it.

Historically, Napoli have enjoyed success at the San Siro, winning six of their last twelve visits. Yet Milan’s home record is nothing short of intimidating: undefeated in 32 of their last 40 matches at the Meazza and averaging over 20 shots per game. The midfield battle will be pivotal, with Milan’s possession-based approach clashing against Napoli’s ruthless efficiency. Expect Allegri to lean on Pulisic and Fofana to exploit Napoli’s defensive gaps, especially with Lukaku missing from the visitors’ counterattacking blueprint.

With both teams boasting identical recent form—five wins and one loss in their last six matches—the margins are razor-thin. Milan’s home advantage and Napoli’s injury concerns tilt the balance ever so slightly toward the Rossoneri. A 2-1 scoreline in favor of Milan feels plausible, especially given their defensive solidity and attacking momentum. Expect a tense, high-quality encounter where Milan edge it late, perhaps through a moment of brilliance from Pulisic or a set-piece masterstroke.