Ethiopia vs Guinea Bissau Prediction & Betting Tips (8 October)

Ethiopia and Guinea-Bissau are set to clash on October 6, 2025, in a pivotal World Cup Qualification CAF Group A fixture. Both teams sit on six points after six matches, with Ethiopia slightly ahead on goal difference. The stakes are high, as a win could reignite hopes of playoff contention. Ethiopia, under head coach Wubetu Abate, has shown flashes of resilience despite a modest campaign, recently securing a morale-boosting win after a string of draws and losses. Guinea-Bissau, led by Baciro Candé, enters the match on the back of two consecutive defeats, raising questions about their defensive stability.

Ethiopia’s squad features emerging talents like Canaan Markneh, who has been instrumental in midfield transitions. The team’s recent tactical shift to a more compact 4-2-3-1 has helped them absorb pressure and counter effectively, a strategy that could be crucial against Guinea-Bissau’s physical style. Meanwhile, Guinea-Bissau relies heavily on the experience of players like Piqueti and Mauro Rodrigues, but their attacking output has been underwhelming, with only five goals scored in six matches. Their inability to convert possession into goals has been a recurring issue, especially against teams that press high and recover quickly.



The head-to-head history between these sides is limited, with only one prior meeting ending in a draw. This lack of precedent adds an element of unpredictability to the fixture. Ethiopia’s home advantage, coupled with their recent uptick in form, could tilt the balance in their favor. Guinea-Bissau’s defensive lapses, particularly in the final 20 minutes of matches, have cost them dearly, and Ethiopia will likely exploit this vulnerability with late surges. Expect a tightly contested match with momentum swinging in phases, but Ethiopia’s tactical discipline and crowd support may prove decisive.

Our prediction leans toward a 2-1 victory for Ethiopia. The hosts are expected to strike early through a set-piece, with Guinea-Bissau responding in the second half. However, Ethiopia’s pressing game and midfield control should yield a late winner, sealing three crucial points. While both teams have struggled for consistency, Ethiopia’s recent cohesion and Guinea-Bissau’s defensive frailties suggest a narrow but deserved win for the home side. This result could reshape Group A’s dynamics and keep Ethiopia’s World Cup dream alive.

• Summary: Ethiopia is going head to head with Guinea-Bissau starting on 8 Oct 2025 at 13:00 UTC at Amahoro Stadium stadium, Kigali city, Rwanda. The match is a part of the FIFA World Cup, Qualification CAF, Group A .