Kerry vs Wexford Prediction & Betting Tips (25 September)

Kerry FC host Wexford FC at Mounthawk Park on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 in a crucial SSE Airtricity Men’s First Division fixture, with the home side looking to recover from Friday’s 3-0 defeat away to Athlone Town. Kerry sit seventh on 42 points after 32 games, two points and one place above Wexford, and with 12 points still available the playoff race remains alive; the Kingdom’s penultimate home game is a must-win if they are to keep pressure on the sides above them.

Kerry’s recent form has been mixed but competitive: before the Athlone setback they had beaten Treaty United 3-1 in the Munster derby and Longford Town 1-0 away, while also losing narrowly 1-0 at home to Bray Wanderers. Wexford arrive in Tralee after a damaging 1-3 home defeat to Finn Harps, though they did win their previous away match at Treaty United 0-1, showing that their season has been defined by inconsistency rather than a lack of quality.

Using the 2026/2027 season squads as the reference point, Kerry will lean on the spine that has carried them through the run-in: Matt Connor in goal, Sean O’Connell and Jonas Häkkinen in defence, captain Sean McGrath driving midfield, and Cian Murphy, Ryan Perez and Cian Bargary providing the attacking threat. Wexford’s 2026/2027 group remains dangerous on the break and in wide areas, but they have been vulnerable away from Ferrycarrig Park, conceding too many goals in the final half-hour of matches.

The European odds market makes Kerry clear favourites, with best 1X2 prices around 2.10 for the home win, 3.45 for the draw and 3.20 for Wexford; both teams to score is about 1.60 and over 2.5 goals is close to 1.72. With Kerry’s home support, greater need after the Athlone loss and Wexford’s recent defensive leaks, our prediction is a 2-1 Kerry win, a result priced around 8.00 in the correct-score mar