Alianza Lima vs 2 de Mayo Prediction & Betting Tips (12 February)

Alianza Lima enter this Copa Libertadores fixture carrying a mixture of optimism and pressure, shaped by a turbulent but intriguing start to their 2024–25 campaign. Over the past two months, the club has undergone notable internal adjustments, including the appointment of Colombian coach Alejandro Restrepo, who returned to the club late in 2024 with the aim of stabilizing performances after an inconsistent league run. Their preseason preparations included several friendlies in January, where the squad experimented with new tactical structures and integrated recent signings such as Kevin Serna and Cecilio Waterman. Although their domestic form has fluctuated, the team has shown signs of improved defensive organization, something supporters hope will translate into continental competition.

In terms of recent matches, Alianza Lima’s early fixtures in the 2025 Liga 1 season have offered a clearer picture of their evolving identity. They opened the campaign with a narrow defeat to Cusco FC, followed by a more composed performance in a draw against Sport Huancayo. Their most encouraging outing came in a hard‑fought win over Deportivo Garcilaso, where Waterman’s movement and Barcos’ experience helped them control key phases of the match. While not yet at full rhythm, the squad has demonstrated resilience and a willingness to adapt, particularly in midfield transitions. These matches have highlighted both their potential and the areas that still require refinement before facing continental opposition.

On the other side, 2 de Mayo arrive at this stage of the Copa Libertadores as one of Paraguay’s most compelling stories of the past year. After earning promotion back to the Primera División for the 2024 season, the club spent the last two months strengthening their squad and adjusting to the demands of top‑flight football. Their recent league fixtures include a spirited draw against Nacional Asunción and a narrow loss to Libertad, matches that revealed both their competitive spirit and the defensive vulnerabilities that can emerge under sustained pressure. Despite limited continental experience, their disciplined approach and energetic pressing have made them a difficult opponent for more established sides.

As these two teams prepare to meet, the contrast in experience and style sets the stage for a tense and tactical encounter. Alianza Lima’s home advantage, combined with their gradual improvement under Restrepo, positions them as slight favorites, though 2 de Mayo’s momentum and hunger cannot be dismissed. The match is likely to be defined by small margins, particularly in midfield duels and set‑piece execution. Given the defensive focus both teams have shown in recent outings, a tight contest seems the most realistic scenario, and our prediction leans toward a narrow 1–0 scoreline in favor of Alianza Lima.