FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas Prediction & Betting Tips (27 February)

FBC Melgar welcome Los Chankas in Arequipa for this Liga 1 Apertura clash with the hosts trying to respond after their recent 3-1 defeat away to FC Cajamarca on 21 February, a setback that interrupted an otherwise impressive start to 2026. Before that loss, Melgar had swept aside Moquegua 4-0 at home, edged Sporting Cristal 2-1 in Lima, and opened the league campaign by beating Cienciano 2-0, underlining both attacking fluency and defensive control. The club has also been active off the pitch over the past two months, refreshing the squad with several January and early February arrivals, which has helped maintain competition for places as they juggle domestic ambitions and upcoming continental commitments.

Those transfer moves have been a key storyline around Melgar since the turn of the year. The Arequipa side brought in Ramos on loan in early February, while Bruno Portugal, Gregorio Rodriguez, Javier Salas, and Leonel Gonzalez all arrived during January, adding depth across the pitch and giving the coach more flexibility in midfield and defense. On the field, the team’s rhythm has been sharpened by a busy friendly schedule: wins over Macará and Moquegua, plus a narrow defeat to Universitario, preceded their strong league run. With nine goals scored and only four conceded in their last five competitive matches, Melgar look like a side that has quickly integrated its new faces into an already well-drilled core.

Los Chankas, meanwhile, come into this fixture with a reputation for stubborn defending, something that has been evident again in the early weeks of the Apertura. Their latest league outing finished 1-1 against Comerciantes Unidos, a result that extended a sequence of low-scoring games in which they have conceded very few but struggled to create clear chances. Over the last couple of months their form has been mixed—one win and a couple of draws in their recent run—but they remain difficult to break down, often lining up in a compact 5-3-2. History, however, leans toward Melgar: the Arequipa side crushed Los Chankas 6-1 in September 2025 and also claimed a 2-0 home win in 2024, with the other meetings ending level.

Putting all of this together, the matchup feels tilted toward a confident Melgar side that is scoring freely at home and has just reinforced its squad, against a Los Chankas team that defends bravely but offers limited attacking threat on the road. Melgar’s recent home dominance, their positive head-to-head record, and the visitors’ conservative approach suggest long spells of pressure in the Arequipa altitude, where an early goal could open the game up. With that in mind, our inclination is toward a clear home victory and a 3 : 0 correct score, a margin that also aligns with the kind of one-sided scenarios we have explored in our internal previews for Melgar’s and Los Chankas’ recent fixtures at 3-0 ( in Bing), 3-0 ( in Bing), 3-0 ( in Bing), and 3-0 ( in Bi