AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Betting Tips (14 April)

AD Tarma’s clash with Alianza Lima in the Peruvian Liga 1 Apertura arrives at a moment when both sides have started to reveal their early-season identities. The hosts are still searching for consistency, but they have already shown they can trouble anyone at home in Tarma’s altitude, while Alianza Lima travel as one of the traditional heavyweights of the league, carrying the pressure of expectation. With the table still tightly packed in mid-April 2026, this meeting feels like one of those fixtures that can subtly tilt momentum for either club, especially given their increasingly competitive recent head-to-head record.

Looking at AD Tarma’s last few weeks, the pattern has been mixed but competitive. They recently grabbed an important away win against Sport Huancayo, edging a tight encounter 0 - 1, which underlined their ability to grind out results on the road. Before that, they were involved in a dramatic 2 - 3 home defeat to Juan Pablo II, a match that exposed some defensive frailties despite their attacking threat. Earlier in the Apertura, they drew 0 - 0 away to Alianza Atlético Sullana and shared a 2 - 2 home thriller with UTC Cajamarca, while a narrow 1 - 0 loss at Deportivo Garcilaso rounded out a run of one win, two draws and two defeats. That sequence suggests a side that rarely gets outclassed, but still struggles to close out tight games.

Alianza Lima, by contrast, come into this encounter on a notably stronger run of form. Over their last five league matches, they have remained unbeaten, starting with a solid 0 - 0 draw away at Alianza Atlético Sullana. They then pieced together a trio of victories: a 1 - 0 home win over Sport Boys, a disciplined 0 - 1 success away to UTC Cajamarca, and an impressive 3 - 1 triumph against FBC Melgar in Lima. Most recently, they drew 1 - 1 away at Deportivo Garcilaso, a result that kept their momentum intact. The main cloud over their camp in the past two months has been a cluster of injuries—Cristian Carbajal, Guillermo Viscarra, Jean Archimbaud, Jesús Castillo, Josué Estrada and Kevin Quevedo have all been listed with physical problems around early to mid-March 2026—yet the squad has largely managed to cope, maintaining defensive solidity and efficient finishing.

The historical balance between these teams adds another layer of intrigue. In their last eight Liga 1 meetings, AD Tarma have claimed three wins, Alianza Lima two, with three draws sprinkled in. Recent scorelines tell the story of a finely poised rivalry: AD Tarma’s emphatic 3 - 0 home victory in March 2025, Alianza Lima’s 3 - 1 response in August 2025, and several tight encounters such as 2 - 0 and 2 - 1 home wins for Tarma alongside goalless stalemates in Lima. With AD Tarma’s home resilience and Alianza Lima’s current unbeaten streak, this feels set up for a tense, tactical battle rather than a runaway result, and a cautious outlook points towards a balanced 1 : 1 correct score as a realistic and compelling predict