Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips (22 August)

The 2026 Franz Beckenbauer Supercup kicks off the German football season on Saturday, 22 August 2026, as Borussia Dortmund host Bayern Munich at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. This is the 16th edition of the competition and marks the first Supercup meeting between these two rivals since 2021. Bayern Munich enter the match as reigning Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double winners, while Borussia Dortmund qualified as the 2025-26 Bundesliga runners-up. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:30 CEST under referee Daniel Schlager.

Dortmund head into the 2026/27 campaign with a significantly refreshed squad under manager Niko Kovac, having added Konstantinos Karetsas, Joey Veerman, Giannis Konstantelias, Joane Gadou, Justin Lerma and Kaua Prates during the summer transfer window. The probable starting lineup sees Gregor Kobel in goal, with Joane Gadou, Filippo Mane and Ramy Bensebaini forming a back three, while Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha and Daniel Svensson operate in midfield behind attackers Karetsas, Samuele Inacio and Serhou Guirassy. However, defensive mainstays Nico Schlotterbeck and Emre Can are definitely sidelined through injury, alongside Carney Chukwuemeka. BVB ended the previous Bundesliga campaign with a hard-fought 0-2 away victory over Werder Bremen and a dramatic 3-2 home win against Eintracht Frankfurt.

Bayern Munich arrive at Signal Iduna Park under Vincent Kompany aiming to lift their 12th Supercup trophy and lay down an early marker for the season ahead. The Bavarians are expected to line up with Manuel Neuer in goal, a back four of Konrad Laimer, Jonathan Tah, Kim Min-jae and Alphonso Davies, a double pivot of Joshua Kimmich and Aleksandar Pavlovic, and an attacking quartet featuring Ismael Saibari, Jamal Musiala, Luis Diaz and Harry Kane. Summer recruits Ismael Saibari and Nathanel Brown are poised to make their competitive debuts, though doubts remain over Jamal Musiala after recent on-field collapses, while Konrad Laimer, Serge Gnabry and Lennart Karl are also fitness concerns. The Rekordmeister concluded last season in imperious form, securing the DFB-Pokal with a commanding 3-0 final victory over Stuttgart, following a Bundesliga finale in which Kane scored a hat-trick in a 5-1 demolition of FC Koln.

European bookmakers have installed Bayern Munich as clear favourites for this 140th competitive edition of Der Klassiker, offering match odds around 4.75 for a Dortmund victory, 4.40 for the draw, and 1.65 for Bayern to prevail inside 90 minutes. With Bayern having lost just three of their last 50 competitive domestic matches and boasting an attack that plundered 184 goals last season, the visitors carry formidable momentum into the new campaign. Harry Kane, fresh from receiving the European Golden Shoe after netting 61 goals in 51 appearances, presents the single greatest threat to a Dortmund backline already deprived of Schlotterbeck's leadership. While BVB's home advantage and pre-season promise should see them get on the scoresheet, Bayern's overwhelming quality and depth are expected to prove decisive, and our prediction is a 1-3 away win for the Bavari