Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction & Betting Tips (5 October)

Nueva Chicago host Deportivo Maipú on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at the Estadio República de Mataderos in what promises to be a tense Primera Nacional Round 32 clash. The Torito arrive with morale high after edging closer to securing their permanence in the category, while the Cruzado are pushing to consolidate a top-half finish in Zone B. History favours the visitors: across the last four meetings between these sides, Deportivo Maipú have won three and Nueva Chicago just one, including a 1-0 Maipú victory in the reverse fixture at the Omar Sperdutti back in May 2026.

Germán Lanaro's Nueva Chicago side has built its campaign on defensive discipline at Mataderos, conceding under 0.70 goals per home match, and their recent results reflect that resilience. The Torito picked up a huge away win over Almagro in José Ingenieros last weekend, sealing the game by 0-1 to move clear of the relegation zone, and they had previously shared the points with Patronato in a 1-1 draw. For the 2026/2027 season, Lanaro can count on goalkeeper Facundo Masuero, an experienced back line featuring Dylan Gissi and Guillermo Ferracuti, and a midfield with Alan Ruiz and Gabriel Vega supplying forwards Sebastián Cocimano — the club's top scorer with five goals — Thiago Ocampo and Lucas Ambrogio. An intriguing subplot is Rodrigo Ramírez, the midfielder signed from Deportivo Maipú this season, facing his former club.

Alexis Matteo's Deportivo Maipú arrive unbeaten in several outings but with a mixed away record, and their season has been hit hard by long-term injuries to Luciano Arnijas and Fausto Montero, both ruled out with cruciate ligament damage. Still, the Cruzado boast quality throughout a 2026/2027 squad built around goalkeeper Nahuel Galardi, defenders Lucas Faggioli, Santiago Paulini, Arón Agüero and Juan de la Reta, a creative engine room of Marcelo Eggel, Mirko Bonfigli and Gastón Mansilla, and striker Juan Cruz Giacone. Their recent road trip to Almagro ended in a hard-fought 2-2 draw, while earlier in the campaign they fell 1-0 at Colegiales, underlining their inconsistency away from Mendoza.

In the European odds market, bookmakers price Nueva Chicago as slight favourites at 2.26 for the home win, the draw at 2.80, and a Deportivo Maipú victory at 3.30 — margins that underline how tight this fixture is expected to be. The underlying numbers point the same way: Nueva Chicago have kept clean sheets in nearly half of their home games, Maipú have failed to score in more than two-thirds of their away matches, and three of the last four H2H meetings produced under 1.5 goals. With both teams prioritising structure over risk late in the regular season, our prediction is a goalless stalemate: Nueva Chicago 0 : 0 Deportivo Maipú